Mr Sherlock Goal

Maths After Match, Greece 0 - 1 Estonia

18/11/2018

Γεια χαρά στη παρέα. Με αυτογκόλ κερδίσαμε τους Φιλανδούς και με αυτογκόλ χάσαμε από τους Εσθονούς. Όποιοι από σας έδωσαν σημασία στη δήλωση του Άγγελου μετά το νικηφόρο αποτέλεσμα πριν από μερικές μέρες, ο Έλληνας τεχνικός δήλωσε ξεκάθαρα ότι εμπιστεύεται όλους τους παίκτες της Εθνικής και θα τους δώσει χρόνο συμμετοχής.

Επομένως, δεν είναι κουβέντα ανωτέρων μαθηματικών για να καταλάβουμε ότι στη παρούσα φάση, πρέπει να ''ξεκαθαρίσει'' το τοπίο στην Εθνική ώστε να έχει καλύτερη εικόνα ο Άγγελος και να ξεκινήσει το στήσιμο της νέας ομάδας. Σίγουρα η ομάδα βρίσκεται σε κρίσιμη καμπή, χρειάζεται πίστωση χρόνου και υπομονή.

Αγωνιστικά, σε κακή μέρα βρέθηκαν οι περισσότεροι παίκτες μας και το πρόβλημα παραμένει στην τελική πάσα, στο ''τελείωμα'' των φάσεων και ειδικά όταν η ομάδα ανεβαίνει στο ημικύκλιο της αντίπαλης περιοχής. Σ΄ αυτό το σημείο παρατηρείται στασιμότητα και έλλειψη κινήσεων αλλά έστω και οι προϋποθέσεις για ένα απλό σουτ. Οι εναλλαγές του σχηματισμού 4-3-3 και 4-4-1-1 αποδίδει αρκετά καλά στον έλεγχο του παιχνιδιού.
Η ομάδα όμως χρειάζεται πολύ δουλειά. Πρέπει επίσης να καταλάβουμε ότι εδώ κτίζεται μια νέα ομάδα που δεν έχει καμία σχέση με τη θρυλική του 2004 και λίγο επί εποχής Σάντος.

Στατιστικά, στα θετικά για άλλη μια φορά είχαμε σχεδόν 67% κατοχή της μπάλας, 15 ανεκμετάλλευτα κόρνερ και 21 σουτ έναντι 4 των Εσθονών. Είναι πολύ σημαντικό ότι ελέγχουμε τα περισσότερα παιχνίδια όμως, το ότι δεν εκμεταλλευόμαστε την υπεροχή είναι άλλη υπόθεση.
Μην ξεχνάτε ότι κάποτε είμαστε εμείς που παίζαμε με 5 στην άμυνα (όπως παίξανε σήμερα οι Εσθονοί) και με 2-4 ευκαιρίες στο παιχνίδι παίρναμε τ΄ αποτελέσματα.

Εδώ όμως υπάρχει ένα μεγάλο ΑΛΛΆ! Κάποτε, είχαμε τους κατάλληλους παίκτες, με τη συγκεκριμένη τεχνική και σωματική κατάρτιση που τους ταίριαζε τέλεια ο τότε συγκεκριμένος τρόπος παιχνιδιού.

Η ομάδα περνάει περίοδο παρακμής διότι δυστυχώς από το 2004 ως και σήμερα, το ''ποδοσφαιρικό μας φυτώριο'' δεν κατάφερε ν΄ αναδείξει 5-6 ισάξιους και υψηλής εμβέλειας παίκτες. Πάντως, πιστεύω ότι υπάρχει φως στο τέλος του τούνελ.
Αλλά ξαφνικά.... για όλα φταίει ο Άγγελος που είναι μόλις 2 παιχνίδια στο ΄΄τιμόνι΄΄ της ομάδας. Είσαστε με τα καλά σας?

Επομένως, να χαλαρώσουν οι ΄΄ελαφροπατριώτες΄΄ που κράζουν και βρίζουν τους παίκτες μας, τον προπονητή και ότι άλλο χαίρονται και θυμούνται. Χαλαρώστε και παίξτε καμία μπιρίμπα βρε προπονηταράδες του καναπέ. Άντε να μιλήστε για τα χάλια της Αργεντινής ή και για την 5αρα ταρίφα που έκοψε σήμερα το Βέλγιο?

Όταν είσαι πραγματικός Έλληνας και αγαπάς την Εθνική σου ομάδα, την στηρίζεις πάντα και παντού. Οι παίκτες και ο προπονητής χρειάζονται τη στήριξη μας τώρα περισσότερο από ποτέ! Να μάθουμε να κερδίζουμε αλλά και να χάνουμε. Έτσι απλά!

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Math Αfter Match Greece 1 - 0 Finland

16/11/2018

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Με αυτή τη μικρή, λιτή και ειλικρινή συνέντευξη μας ενημερώνει ο Άγγελος για τη γραμμή που θα χαράξει στην Εθνική.
Νομίζω ότι δεν χρειάζεται καν να αναλύσω τα λεγόμενα του, καθώς ο νέος
προπονητής της Εθνικής μας, δεν έχει ''κρυμμένα χαρτιά'' και είμαι απόλυτα
πεπεισμένος ότι όποιες αποφάσεις πάρει στο μέλλον, θα είναι καθαρά δικής του
επιλογής με μοναδικό όφελος τη καλύτερη πορεία της ομάδος.
Αν κάποιοι ''κακόβουλοι'' προσπαθήσουν να του επιβληθούν, ο Άγγελος απλά,
θα βάλει το καπέλο του και θα φύγει ως αξιότιμος κύριος. Αυτά εν ολίγης ....

Αγωνιστικά, τα είπε ο Άγγελος και συμφωνώ απολύτως μαζί του. Στατιστικά, η Εθνική μας είχε 67% κατοχή μπάλας και αρκετά περισσότερες ευκαιρίες απ΄ τους Φιλανδούς. Μια εμφάνιση που συνοδεύτηκε με νίκη. Δηλαδή, τι άλλο θέλουν ''οι προπονητές του καναπέ και της εξέδρας'' για να χειροκροτήσουν αυτή τη προσπάθεια? Το επαναλαμβάνω με κεφαλαία γράμματα:
''ΠΡΟΣΠΑΘΕΙΑ''.

Ρίχνω μια ματιά λοιπόν στη σελίδα της Εθνικής μας στο facebook και διαβάζω το ''προπονητιλίκι του καναπέ και της εξέδρας'' αλλά και τον ανθελληνισμό σ΄ όλο τους το μεγαλείο! Έπαθα σοκ! Άλλοι να χτυπιούνται ότι η Εθνική μας και καλά είναι όλο ''πασούλες στο κέντρο και δεν έχουμε επίθεση'', ''πονέσαμε τα μάτια μας πάλι'' κτλ.
Σιγά ρε μεγάλε! Πριν από το 2004 ή και με τη κατάκτηση του Εuro αλλά και μετά Εuro εποχής, θυμάσαι την εθνική μας καταφέρνει να παίζει επιτυχημένο επιθετικό παιχνίδι? Τονίζω ''επιτυχημένο ποδόσφαιρο'' ώστε όντως να σκοράρει η ομάδα περισσότερο αλλά και να παίρνει αποτελέσματα.
Σιγά ρε προπονηταράδες του καναπέ και της εξέδρας που θα πάτε να δώστε συμβουλές στην Εθνική Γερμανίας και Βραζιλίας για το πως οι Εθνικές τους θα μπορούν ρίχνουν τουλάχιστον 3-4 μπαλάκια σε κάθε ομάδα έτσι για πλάκα.

Καταλάβετε το! ''Ο σκοπός αγιάζει τα μέσα'' και τα παλικάρια μας παίζουν αυτά που ξέρουν, αυτά που μπορούν και είμαι πεπεισμένος ότι κάνουν ότι καλύτερο μπορούν από τη στιγμή που φορούν τη φανέλα με το εθνόσημο.

Αυτοί οι ανεγκέφαλοι και οι ''ελαφροπατριώτες'' που έχουν το θράσος να αποκαλούν ''άχρηστους και άμπαλους'' τους παίκτες της Εθνικής, να το
ξανασκεφτούν και να ανακαλέσουν.

Δεν υπάρχει χειρότερο χτύπημα για την Εθνική μας ομάδα, για το Έθνος μας, για τη χώρα ΜΑΣ, να προσβάλουμε τους ΈΛΛΗΝΕΣ που μας εκπροσωπούν.

Φυσικά υπάρχουν και οι ανθέλληνες που είναι ''μανούλες'' στο να σχολιάζουν ότι στραβό και κακό βλέπουν, αλλά μόνο τα κακά. Γιατί έχουν σκοπό και δόλο.
Αυτούς λοιπόν τους ανεγκέφαλους, τους ''ελαφροπατριώτες'', και ανθέλληνες να μην τους αγνοείτε, αλλά να τους συμβουλεύετε να ακολουθούν τη σελίδα του Ομάν ή της Ουγκαντας ή άλλης χώρας αν δεν αισθάνονται Έλληνες. Επιπλέον, ας μην το γυρίζουμε σε Δημοκρατία και ελευθερία λόγου γιατί εκεί πλέον πάει αλλού η κουβέντα.

Αφήστε λοιπόν τον καναπέ όλοι όσοι μπορείτε, και πηγαίνετε την Κυριακή στο γήπεδο να στηρίξτε την νέα προσπάθεια της Εθνικής μας απέναντι στην Εσθονία. Τα δικά μου μάτια προσωπικά, ΠΟΝΕΣΑΝ να βλέπουν την Εθνική μας να παίζει σ΄ άδεια γήπεδα! Στηρίζουμε πάντα την Εθνική με ήλιο και βροχή!

Το καταλάβατε?

Καλή Επιτυχία Άγγελε και στα παλικάρια της Εθνικής!

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English Premier League and Spanish La Liga football forecast

11/11/2018

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Hello everyone. Time flies indeed and I have not realised how quick we have reached the 12th fixture of English Premier League and Spanish La Liga football leagues.
What both leagues had yesterday in common, was a generally low scoring day and a quite high factor of draws. I think that will change today.

Alaves - Huesca. The odds are shifted against Alaves and to be honest, I don't understand why. On Betfair Exchange the price pay out 2.10 at the moment! One way or another I expect a Home Win and 2-3 goals in this game. The scores 2-0 and 2-1 stand a good change for inplay trading. WON

Barcelona - Real Betis. The hosts have the edge here but also.... the injuries. Their line up is a puzzle at the moment in contrast with the visitors who arrived in Barcelona with nearly full squad and... have improved recently. The Over 3.5 goals market payouts nearly 2.12 now on Betfair Exchange. WON

Rayo Vallecano - Villarreal. How bad things are for Villarreal's team? I guess we will find out today. Over 2.5 goals is my main prediction and I give an edge to the hosts with score 1-2 but I wouldn't also rule out a triumph of 2-1 score for the hosts. Half Won

Sevilla - Espanyol. ''Surprise, surprise'', the visitors are on the 4th place of the leader-board and that fact alone force the bookies to shift the prices for Sevilla. It's tricky, and personally I don't think that Espanyol will stay so high up on the leader-board for a long time BUT.... Today I will give them the benefit of the doubt. Over 2.5 goals is my main prediction and could be easy for the hosts with score 3-1 or escape with a 2-2 draw.
Half Won

Celta Vigo - Real Madrid. The hosts are such a fascinating team this year by playing open and attacking football. Celta has the 3rd highest scoring team and the 3rd highest home scoring on the league so far. Real Madrid is not convincing with so many 'hiccups' in away games this year and everything could happen today. Over 3.5 goals is my main prediction and Both teams to score 2 goals or more. WON

In English Premier League, I think it will rain goals today and Liverpool could win it with Over 3.5 goals.
Chelsea has never lost at home to Everton since 2002 in 23 games but... they drew 8 times. Over 3.5 goals is my tip and scores 3-1 & 2-2.
It shouldn't be a problem for Arsenal to win this game and I like the 1.70 price on Betfair at the moment.
Derby of the Manchester is ON! The bookies continue their strategy to completely underestimate United in this game and give a huge edge to City with a ridiculous maximum win price of 1.45 so... allow me to remind you that City has not managed to win at home against United the last 3 years. I expect at least 3 goals in this game and I would go for scores 2-1 and 1-2.

Best of Luck!

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01/10/18 Flash Football Tips

1/10/2018

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Hello folks! I hope you are well. Straight to the point because the games I am very interested start very shortly. In Swedish Allsvenskan things are getting complicated and I am wondering if we'll have more ''unexpected'' results today as well.
Elfsborg v Hacken - The visitors are back in the race for joining the Europa League again next year but..... they have to win this game first and continue their good run. Elfsborg is in a very good form lately and am not surprised to see the odds shifted for Hacken. Over 3.5 goals is my tip in this game.
Ankaragucu v Antalyaspor - ''The Power of Ankara'' started very dynamically this season indeed. In this game they share current form statistics with the experienced Antalya but their defence is not doing well at all. I expect Ankara to take advantage of it and see an open game and.. hopefully against the odds, it will rain goals. The Over 3.5 goals market offers great value.
Celta Vigo v Getafe - The word ''unpredictable'' fits perfectly the team of Celta and indeed anything can happen against them. Getafe in the other hand are more ''serious'' in their game and I think they will make it difficult today for the hosts. Over 3.5 goals is my prediction and let the best team win!
Bournemouth v C Palace - 3 points only separate the two teams today but the hosts have an ''unofficial'' advantage. Bournemouth plays well and scores frequently at their home but Crystal Palace shows us, they know how to get results when they play away. The H2H history suggests open games and goals. Once again, against the bookies I wil back the Over 3.5 goals.

Felling adventurous? A Lucky 15 & Fourfold anytime score 2-2 (except the game of Celta anytime 3-2) in the above games is well worth it.!

Best of Luck!

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US MLS - All Eyes on New York's Derby!

22/8/2018

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Hello folks. Game is on! It's New York City vs New York Red Bulls and just for 90 minutes a city can be divided in two.
Both teams are missing a handful of players tonight specially in defence lines and here is the question. Will these absences drive the managers to use defensive tactics today or we will watch an awesome open game?
I will take a small risk and count on that teams will play open football. The Over 3.5 goals market offers a ''fairly'' good value but certainly the scores 3-1 and 2-2 are offered by Betfair.com at prices 19.00 and 14.00 pre game.

Best of Luck!

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18/08/18 USA MLS Soccer action night

18/8/2018

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Hello folks! The Major League Soccer resumes tonight and the bookmakers suggest ''easy home wins'' as you can see at the image below. I couldn't disagree more. There are teams which are not currently in a good form, or the visitors are in better shape. Therefore I can't see how all these home wins will land.

Screenshot taken from OddsPortal.com

Seattle Sounders - Los Angeles Galaxy. The hosts are over the bad start of the season
and if they win this game, then certainly can knock the Play Offs' door. LA once again
disappointed their fans with the latest draw against Colorado as we had correctly
predicted. Seattle is in much better shape than LA but am not sure if that's going to be such an ''easy win'' as the bookmakers predict. The visitors perform much better in away games and this is fact. The Over 3.5 goals market offers great value and I like the scores 3-1 & 2-2 for inplay trading on Betfair Exchange. The simply offer the best prices!

Philadelphia Union - New York City. Game is on! Tough wins for both teams last week but this game is tougher for..... the hosts. NYC is far a better side and in an ideal soccer world they could escape with 1 or 3 points tonight. Over 3.5 goals is my main tip and scores 2-3 & 2-3 wouldn't harm for in play cashout.

Vancouver Whitecaps - New York Red Bulls. I got mixed feelings for this game. The visitors though are far better team and defend better when they' re playing away. If you really want to bet on this game then my suggestion is 2-3 goals full time and 0-2 anytime score.

Montreal Impact - Chicago Fire. I did not expect to see Chicago doing so bad this season. This is a crucial game for them but also.... an opportunity to snitch 3 points in this game because Montreal's recent performances have not convinced me. Not much value in Over 2.5 goals (if you don't mind) and I go for scores 2-1 & 1-2 for inplay trading on Betfair Exchange.

FC Dallas - Minnesota. Lets put it this way. If San Jose did it against Dallas then why Minnesota not? They played beautifully against LA and unfairly (in my view) did not win the game. Dallas in the other hand comes from 2 straight wins and the team clearly is not in a good shape. I expect a very open game from both teams and I like the value of Over 3.5 and 4.5 goals. SI wouldn't say no to scores 3-2 & 2-3 for inplay trading/cashout.

Sporting Kansas City - Portland Timbers. Another game which puzzles me a lot. The draw factor is high on this game although the odds favour the hosts. Although, the question is, would we see many goals? I am not sure and my estimate is 2-3 goals. Perhaps I got this wrong but the scores 2-0 and 1-1 offer great value if you really have to bet on it.

Houston Dynamo - Real Salt Lake. The list of unavailable players for tonight's game is quite long, specially for the RSL's team. Anything could happen in this game and I don't think Houston has a clear advantage. Against all odds, Under 2.5 goals is my tip if you want to bet on it.

San Jose Earthquakes - Toronto FC. If Toronto could win the next away game, I wouldn't imagine a more 'convenient' opponent. San Jose's performance has son many ups and downs since the beginning of the season and very fairly they are keeping the top spot of ''upside down'' leader board. Toronto has done beautifully lately, although unlucky against NYC last week. Both teams score and concede many goals recently and I like the value of Over 3.5 goals. Easily or not, I think Toronto will win the game with score 1-3 or 2-3.

Best of Luck!

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14/08/18 La Galaxy vs Colorado Rapids Game Analysis

14/8/2018

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Good Evening all. The mid week MLS action takes place in Los Angeles tonight and I look forward to watching this game. Before I start analysing it though, I would like to thank you for your nice personal messages you sent for our latest winnings.

The bookmakers predict ''easy win'' for the hosts again but hold on, I heard that last week against Minnesota as well. Let's check the facts. It's been a struggle for LA's team lately, mainly because they simply can't defend. In fact, their defence reminds me a children's playground where everyone's having fun.

Colorado Rapids on the other hand have been improved a lot recently and not long ago they won LA at home with a fair score 2-1. I think they travel stress free to Los Angeles tonight and the frustration clearly lies in the hosts' ''terrain''. Based on the current form and other factors I took into account, I think Draw has very good chances tonight unless the Zlatan's Goals show resumes.

I would be very surprised if we don't see at least 4 goals in this game but if you are a ''value hunter'', the Draw and scores 3-2 & 3-3 (single bets) for in-play cash-out sounds good to me. The prices are matching as high as 5.50, 26.00 and 85.00 at the moment on Betfair's Exhange.

Best of Luck!

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12/08/18 USA MLS Late Night Games

12/8/2018

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Major League Soccer resumes tonight!

Good evening from UK folks! If you don't have to wake early tomorrow morning, then is really worth it to stay up all night for this soccer ''bonanza''.
A quick flashback to what happened so far during the last 2 days. It was a considerably low scoring weekend but hey, they can't keep ''raining goals'' all the time. Furthermore, we had just 2 home wins, 2 HUGE draws and 4 (hear,hear) away wins. Thumps Up for
Minnesota, Kansas, Vancouver, Philadelphia and Montreal because at least according to the bookmakers, these were the ''underdogs''. (Hakim, I hope by the way to like the above photo).

Toronto FC - New York City. Game is on! Both teams want the three point of win for different reasons but the draw factor is high in my view. I expect an open game from both teams and I like the value of Over 3.5 and 4.5 goals. Feeling adventurous? A small punt wouldn't harm, I have faith in scores 4-4 and 4-3 for inplay cashout trading.

DC United - Orlando City. The bookmakers clearly favourite the hosts in this game but I disagree. I can't ignore the Orlando's last 3-4 games and very good performances against respectable opponents. If there's some justice in this soccer world, it should thunder goals in this game today. Once again, the Over 3.5 and 4.5 goals sounds good to me and I wouldn't say know to score 3-2 & 4-4 for inplay trading.

Seattle v Dallas. Tough game for both teams which are recently in very good form. I expect a close game and I would go for scores 2-1 and 2-2 for inplay trading. I think Seattle is too good at home to lose this game.

Best of Luck!

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English Premier League 2018 - 1st Fixture

10/8/2018

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Hello folks! Manchester United started started with a win this season and set with the right foot for sure but I am wondering if all ''favourites'' will have the same ''fate'' in the upcoming games on Saturday.
What am I talking about? Let's put it this way, history tells us that the 1st fixture of the English Premier league is an ''enigma'' most of the times, and very rarely all the favourites win. In fact, the history has recorded unspeakable surprises so.. feel free to refresh your memory.
Clearly, the value is in Laying the favourites (betting against) or at least try to avoid the ''horrors''.
Can Newcastle take advantage of Spurs' long list of unavailable players for this game?
I think they can snatch a point or... three. Fulham is favourited by the bookmakers but I can't see Crystal Palace losing this opening game. Huddersfield..... or.... Chelsea? I like the Draw for in play trading and.. let the best team win! So much faith in Wolves and the underdog is Everton? Not sure about it.

Best of Luck!

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29/07/18 Allsvenskan Swedish Football Games and Analysis

29/7/2018

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Swedish Premier League resumes today!

Hello folks. First things first, thank you for the
nice messages you sent through about
our awesome results in yesterday's MLS
soccer. Please always remember to bet
responsibly.
AIK - Kalmar. The hosts puzzle me lately with their 'ups and downs' in their performance but still are on top of the leader board. They had quite busy schedule the last weeks with games in Europa and domestic leagues. Kalmar on the other hand surprised many (included me) with their shocking defeat at home last week. What should I expect today? Kalmar, due to their tactics perfom much better overall in away games rather at home. The visitors score frequently when they play away and the H2H history encourages my thoughts. AIK's defence is not at it's best and I think the team looks a bit ''weary''. I find great value in the market of Both teams to score where in Betfair's Exchange the price is offered higher than 2.25!
Djurgarden - Sundsvall. The weather forecast suggests thunderstorms during the game in Stockholm but will it rain goals? I think it will! Over 2.5 goals is my tip in this game and the visitors might take advantage that AIK tries to rest some key players on the bench. Correct scores 3-2 and 2-2 for inplay cashout stand a good chance.

Hacken - Orebro. The hosts disappoint me this season so far. I was expecting more from them specially against top teams, they have not managed to win a single 'derby' and consequently they see themselves far from the top seats of the leader board. Orebro on the other hand, had a brilliant start this season and seeing themselves far from the relegation zone. Having said that, they re not in a good form lately and Hacken is the favourite in this game. 2-3 goals is my main tip and Hacken to win with 2-0 or 3-0 score.

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Best of Luck!

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28/07/18 US MLS Analysis & Tips

28/7/2018

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Day off and staying in tonight means only one thing. Look forward to watching US MLS
soccer! Let's get down to business and to the games analysis then.
New York Red Bulls - Columbus Crew. Both teams are high on the leader-board but hosts have the edge here. NYR are strong at home in contrast with the visitors who show a bad face away from home. 2-3 goals is my main tip, mainly because Crew is a bit hard nut to crack in away games lately. In an ideal world the scores 2-0 and 2-1 stand a good chance for inplay trading. (Bets lost final score 2-3)

Montreal Impact - Atlanta United. The visitors are in such a good form and they do brilliantly in away games so far. The hosts demonstrated some decent defending in recent home games and I expect a tight game. 2-3 goals is my main tip and ideally Atlanta could win the game with 0-2 or 1-2 score. (Bets won final score 1-2, both scores could traded)

Toronto FC - Chicago Fire. VOTD. For those who don't know, votd stands for Value Of
The Day. I disagree with the bookmakers for undervaluing Chicago so much in today's
game. Some betting companies don't even offer higher than 1.50 (eu odds). Toronto will miss a few key players tonight as Chicago as well and in my view, this fact quite balances the scale. Its a game that could go Over 5.5 goals as also a 'big fat draw'. Feeling adventurous? Scores 3-3 and Any Other draw offer great value on Betfair's Exchange.
(Bets lost final score 3-0)

DC United - Colorado Rapids. I think DC is too good to get relegated. Hopefully will ''rain goals'' as is a must win game for both teams. Over 2.5 goals is my tip in this game and score 3-1 for in play trading. (Bet half won, final score 2-1)

Sporting Kansas City - FC Dallas. Both teams will be tested tonight although Dallas has the advantage in my view. The H2H history favours the hosts but they will not have some key players tonight at their disposal. In terms of current form it's clear to me that Dallas should win this game. My Main tip is Over 2.5 goals but I wouldn't be surprised if we see more goals. Scores 1-2 & 2-3 for in play trading wouldn't harm.
(Bets won final score 2-3! pre game odds up to 46! (45/1)

Vancouver Whitecaps - Minnesota. Game is on! Can Vancouver put a break on the visitors' wins? I am not sure about it. Hopefully we ll watch an exciting game with many goals. Over 2.5 goals is my main tip and I put faith on scores 2-3 & 3-2... Let the best team win!
(Bets won final score 4-2 but score 3-2 remained up to 88' for cashout!)

San Jose Earthquakes - Real Salt Lake. GOTD. RSL is so good at home but so bad in away games. Can the hosts take advantage of it specially when RSL is missing a handful of good players today? I think despite their troubles, the visitors are too good to lose this game. Draw is my main tip with scores 1-1 & 2-2 for In play cashout/trading.
(Bet half won, final score 0-0)

Portland Timbers - Houston Dynamo. Tight game between two teams which share strengths and weaknesses in game play. The hosts though are slightly in better form. Over 2.5 goals is my main tip and easily or not, Portland could win the game by 2-1 or 3-2 score.
(Bets won, final score 2-1)

Seattle Sounders - New York City. Although NYC is ''cruising'' on the top spots of the leader-board and demonstrated some excellent defending in recent games, the bookmakers favour the hosts with a price 2.00 (eu odds) so far. There's no doubt that Seattle is in good form as well but has not the qualities of NYC in any case. I expect a tight game between 2-3 goals and in an fair football world NYC could escape at least with a draw. Scores 0-2 & 1-1.

Best of Luck!

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Swedish Allsvenskan Football - 15th Fixture

28/7/2018

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Swedish football resumes today!

Hello folks. The Swedish Premier League resumes today
with 4 games today, 3 games tomorrow and 1 game on
Monday. The bookmakers give a significant edge to 7
home wins out of 7 games in a row and I suggest
caution.
In my view, the greater value and the better chances of
winning are the goal markets and... Draws.
Goteborg - Brommapojkarna Another wasted season for the hosts who see themselves after 14 fixtures, just 4 points above the relegation zone. One word: ''Disaster''!
They fairly lost last week's away game against Sirius, and if it wasn't for the ten men Orebro's team the week before, I doubt they would win that home game.
Bromma in the other hand, they do much worse so far and travel to Goteborg with 7 defeats in 7 games so far.
In theory, it should be an easy win for the hosts but their recent form is not inspiring at all. 2-3 goals is my tip for this game.

Ostersunds - Elfsborg Interesting game between two teams which play open football this season and their defences are not at their best. The bookmakers give a small edge to the hosts due to their current form and position on the leader-board. Let's also don't forget the team is unbeaten for 7 games in a row. The ''Elves'' in the other hand are in a good form as well. Their recent results against top teams are brilliant and they distant themselves from the relegation zone as expected. Their unbeaten record of 6 games in a row ended last week against strong Norrkoping with 1-0 score however, the Elves played very well and gave them a good scare. In today's hand I see Over 2.5 goals market and Draw walking ''hand by hand''. Feeling a bit adventurous? The scores 2-2 and 3-3 offer great value for in play trading on Betfair's Exchange.

Dalkurd - Sirius ''Hour Zero'' for both teams I would say and we should expect an open game today. Draw could be a disaster but also could be a reasonable result. Over 2.5 goals is my main tip and worths a punt on 3-2 & 2-3 scores. May the best team wins!

Malmo FF - Norrkoping ''Easy win'' for the hosts the bookmakers suggest and I will say
''Thank you but no... thank you''. Although Malmo have improved their performance
recently, they had a tough schedule and games in domestic league and Champions
League. The visitors are ''cruising'' on the top 3 spots of the leader board with 8 points
ahead of Malmo and unbeaten for 8 games in a row.
I think this game comes at an ''inconvenient time'' for Malmo and the visitors are in a better form and are more rested. 2-3 goals is my main prediction for this game. Against the odds I would say no to scores 1-1 & 1-2 for inplay trading.

Best of Luck!

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15/07/18 Flash Allsvenskan Football Tips

15/7/2018

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Hello folks. I do the ''flash man'' thing today and straight to the point with Swedish Football Premier League.
Kalmar - Djurgarden. Both teams are in brilliant form but the visitors have the edge in my view and I can't see them loosing the game today. 2-3 goals is my main prediction with score 1-1 & 1-2.
Norkopping v Hacken. The hosts look sharp again recently and regained a spot at the Top seats of the table. Hacken has quality in their ranks but their bad away form costs them so many points this season. Could the recent away win in Europa League competition light the ''beacon'' of away wins? Not sure about it to be honest. Both teams to score is my main prediction but an early goal from either team could give me a good chance for scores 2-1 & 2-2.
Sundsvall - AIK. Kept the ''best'' for the end. Full attacking squad for the hosts right now and I expect Gail and Hallenius to ''shine'' in today's game with goals! AIK on the other hand leaves on the bench Stefanelli and Lindkvist for...... not sure why. The bookies raise the odds to nearly 1.92 for the away win at the moment. Against the odds, my main tip is Over 3.5 goals and I back 2-2 and 3-3 scores. The prices start from 21.00 to 130 on Betfair's Exchange at the moment and I can't say no.

Best of Luck!

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Russia FIFA World Cup 2018 - Day 4

17/6/2018

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Good morning folks! Pretty much our predictions are spot on although Lady Luck turned her back in a few tips so far. No hard feelings and I can't wait for today's games!

Costa Rica - Serbia. Experience vs Youth describes this game and it's going to be a tough one for me to predict.
The Costa Ricans once again are present in the world cup with the same ''team's recipe'' but.... a little bit ''matured'' this time. Main strength used to be the solid defensive style and effective counter attacks. The reason I say ''used to be'', it's simply because I don't see them defending lately as good as before.
The Serbians though look a more ''refreshed'' team with a good mix of young and talented players, but their lack of experience cost them a few lost games in the past.
If the ''old fox'' Costa Rica defend effectively today they could get away with a win of 1-0 score but if not, Serbia could win this game with a 2-1 score.

Germany - Mexico. The ''German Machine'' is not working as flawless as before. There are weaknesses in their defence and the latest interference of the Turkish Prime Minister in the matter of 2 ''German players'', raised a hell of issues for the team. More likely, those 2 players won't make the first 11 player to start today's game.
Mexico in the other hand, is not in a great form lately as a ''whole team'' although, most of the key players, individually perform greatly in their clubs in North and South America leagues. I think Mexico's manager struggles to make things work in the team and this could be their downfall in the tournament.
My Main tip is Over 2.5 goals and the value is very good up to 1.86 at the moment on Betfair's Exchange. Germany could over come their own problems and win with a dramatic score 3-2 or a ''cruising'' and easy 4-1 score.

Brazil - Switzerland. I don't have many things to say about this match. If there's some justice in this football world, then the Argentina's and Peru's drama won't be repeated in this game.
The Swiss are a good side but not a match for the Brazilians. I predict score 2-0 or 3-1.

Best of Luck to your teams!

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FIFA World Cup 2018 - Groups Analysis & Betting Tips

12/6/2018

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Fifa World Cup 2018 - Russia

Not long now folks! One of the most celebrated football events take place in Russia this year. In tournaments like World Cup, we have seen many ''unexpected'' surprises in the past. Meaning? I am talking of ''popular outsiders'' teams to make it through the Group stages to the next round, and ''undefeated favourites'' to leave the competition early.
Once again, this competition would not be different from the previous ones. There's no way all the ''favourites'' to qualify from the group stages to the next round and certainly we will see other teams surprising us.
What To Look For ? Teams which defend effectively, have great chances of making it to the next round. Tactics matter during the group stages and is proven in the past over and over again.
What To Avoid or Bet Against ? Teams which are considered clear favourites but their recent form shows they have been struggling to win or/and conceding many goals recently.

Russia - Saudi Arabia. It's tradition for the hosts of the competition to do the ''grand opening''. The Bookmakers could not undervalue the Saudi Arabians more. The Russians are not the great team used to be once upon a time and Arabians coped well recently against strong teams such as Italy and Germany. My estimate is 2-3 goals in this game and scores 2-1 and 1-1 for inplay trading. (Lost)

Egypt - Uruguay. ''Important competitions are for important players''. My mention is for no other than Salah, that Egyptian great player which all fans look forward to seeing him playing if manages to recover in-time for the opening game. Egypt as a team though it's an enigma. Their performance has many ups and downs and morale is easily shaken in absence of key players. At the other side of the pitch, Uruguay's stars need no introductions and is the clear favourite in this game. Having said that, defence has been always their struggle but lately they defend brilliantly without losing their effectiveness in attack. Could that means the return of Uruguay to the top spots of the competition of they will flap again? If Salah plays that would be a concern for the Latins and I expect a tough game. My prediction is Under 2.5 goals and scores 0-1 & 1-1. (Won)

Morocco - Iran. Game is on! The Moroccans are in a fab form even without their star player Nabil Dinar who is suffering from an injury and is a race now to be fit for the opening game. The Iranians on the other had received ''devastating news'' from Nike that is a business decision with immediate effect to discontinue supplying them with shoes. The Iran's team coach stated this is a very serious problem as the players ''have used to'' their equipment. (Really? lol) The players of Iran though don't look very concerned. They arrived in style in Moscow. Wearing their Dolce & Cabana ''playboy'' style suits are having fun and focusing on perfect selfies photos. This game gathers a big chance for for draw although I give the edge to Morocco. I will be surprised to see early or many goals in this game and subsequently I go for Under 2.5 goals and scores 1-0 & 1-1. (Half Won)

Spain v Portugal. What a game! A classic derby between two arrivals with great football history and achievements. I agree with Bookies that Spain has an edge as they look more composed and complete as a team. The European Champions of 2016 are a question mark for me in this competition. They don't play great football but they manage to get the results by having Lady Luck on their side many times. Will this continue in this competition? 1-0 & 1-1 scores in this game. I wouldn't bother investing on Under 2.5 goals as an early goal could dynamite this game. (Half won - Lay Under 2.5 goals or avoid)

France - Australia. Are the French serious this time? I hope so because they got the most awesome squad in their last 10 years! The Ausies on the other hand rely a lot in teamwork and it works! My prediction is that Ausies could go through to the next stage with 4 points second after France. I have changed my mind since the last time I tipped this game. Could be a humiliating defeat for the Aussies? Could the history repeat itself? Am not sure about this to be honest but if you want invest small bets on Over 2.5 goals as main tip, 0-0 and 2-1 scores for inplay/trading the return could be Gold! (Won)

Argentina - Iceland. I respect the Vikings from the North and they are such a joyful team with awesome fans but I fear they are no match for Argentina. One way or another the Argentinians can win this game. Handicap -2 for Argentina and scores 3-1 & 4-2. (Lost)

Peru - Denmark. I am not sure why the odds are favouring Denmark and Peru is considered the ''outsider''. The Peruvians are more consistent and with Guerrero back to their ranks, are a strong side. The Danish are a good team but they lack of quality and ''star players''. I think Danes will be lucky to escape with a Draw in this game and I split the bets between draw and scores 1-1 & 1-0 for inplay cashout/trading. (Lost)

Croatia - Nigeria. Super Eagles are underestimated but this what they want. These words come from the Nigerian players who look ready for the upcoming game. The Croatians do not impress me a lot although they have a few very good players. Against the odds I like the Under 2.5 goals in this game and scores 0-1 & 2-0 for inplay/cashout. (Won)

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Norwegian Eliteserien - Are the hosts in troubles today?

10/6/2018

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10/06/18 Latest Statistics Norwegian Eliteserien - Courtesy of 7m.cn

Hello folks. Almost 50% of the
games ended with home wins this season so far and this is an
extraordinary fact. Having said that and after looking the today's
games schedule, the results could be different.

Lillestrom - Odd. Match of the Day in my view between two teams which share strengths and weaknesses. Both of them performed unexpectedly well in recent Cup games against top teams Brann and Rosenborg and did not lose. I expect an open game with at least 3 goals. The Over 2.5 goals  market pays out generously on Betfair exchange today at price nearly 2.00 (Evens). Feeling adventurous? The game could end up with a draw of 2-2 or 3-3 score.

Sandefjord - Haugesund. I am a bit ''surprised'' to see the hosts at the last place of the leader-board. I think today they are in troubles against Haugesund's recent good form. Over 2.5 goals is my tip an I would extend the value to visitor's win with Over 2.5 goals.

Ranheim - Sarpsborg. What a surprise by Renheim! They enjoy sitting on the 3rd top spot but Sarpsborg will try to ruin this today. Its a big game for sure and draw gathers high chances. Although I favour the Over 2.5 goals market, it worth a punt on 1-2 & 2-2 scores. I value the visitors' slightly more because of their experience in getting results in derbies.

Stabaek - Bodo/Glimt. The home team is in crisis. They can't get the right results. Either they will score few to many goals but they will concede more, or either they won't score at all and again will drop point(s). Bodo in the other hand, are distancing themselves from the relegation zone by one way or another and that is pretty much what they want.
I think that anything could happen in this game today and I quite can't out my finger on it. Against the odds, this game could finish with Under 2.5 goals result.

Start - Stromsgodset. Typical Start which hardly ''starts well'' the season and sweating all the way to the end, trying to avoid the relegation. In last home game, they won Bodo with score 1-0. That was a huge and unexpected surprise for the worst defence of the league so far, to keep a clean sheet. Did they finally figure out a way to stop conceding goals at least when they play at home? The visitors are a big disappointment  so far and if they can't win this game then subsequently are getting in troubles. Once again, I will go against the odds and prefer the Under 2.5 goals rather the low price of the Over 2.5 goals.

Brann - Valerenga. The hosts look serious this year, undefeated in 12 games so far and 6 points ahead of the ''monopoly'' champions Rosenborg. The visitors are high on the leader board but their performances in away games is a concern. A good performance by Brann could lead easily to a win but will they maintain their good run? 2-3 goals is my tip for this game.

Any thoughts? Feel free to comment below.

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Spanish La Liga Express Previews and Tips

8/4/2018

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Spanish La Liga Football Tips

Hello folks. Wherever you are in the world I hope you had a great Easter and awesome holidays.
It is a kind of tradition for us on 4LiveSports to publish live our value bets during bank holidays and.... best of luck!
Levante - Las Palmas. The game kicks off soon and is not lost for the visitors. Levante miss a handful of important players today and we go for draw 1-1 and 2-2 scores. Las Palmas could snatch a point.
Real Madrid v Atletico Madrid. Under different circumstances I would back gladly the draw but Atletico's latest performance in away games against Top teams is poor. I predict 2-3 goals in this game and Real to win with score 2-0 or 2-1.
Real Sociedad - Girona. I look forward to watching this game. Draw game in my view and I am after the scores 2-2 & 3-3 inplay for cashout.
Valencia - Espanyol. Whatever happens in the ''derby'' of Madrid, Valencia is a winner as long as they beat Espanyol at home. I like the Over 2.5 goals in this game with home win scores 2-1 or 3-0.

Happy Punting!

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Turkish Super League Football Analysis and Tips

18/2/2018

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Hello folks. The Turkish Super League resumes today with the second part of 22nd fixture with some interesting games. Four teams claim the crown of the champion and at least six teams try to avoid the 'shame' of relegation. It's not clear at all and here's the picture of the League so far.

18/02/18 Turkish Super League Update

The statistics are very interesting in this league specially when 50.26% of the games so far ended with home wins and the average of goals remain high on 2.95 average. Will that change slightly today?
Bursaspor v Yeni Malatyaspor Both team have a lot in common such as position on the leader-board and current form. Hosts managed to snatch a great result against Besiktas two weeks ago at home with a score 2-2 but the week after, they blew up everything by losing 1-0 away against Genclerbirligi. Yeni in the other hand is a team that performs better in away games rather at home this season. They drew against Osmalinspor but after they got smacked by Antalyaspor with score 3-1. Having said that, the red card early in the game looked like it was a very determining factor. I think it's not going to be easy for Bursaspor today and draw has an edge. Scores 1-0 & 1-1 stand a change for in-play cashout.

Karabukspor v Akhisar In an ideal world, the hosts have already checked out from the Super League and should start making preparations for the Second Division. Akhisar's recent form is inspiring and I find the their price to win today higher than 2.00 at the moment. I am not sure why is so high but I will not argue with that. Akhisar is a much better team and easily or not they can win this game.

Trabzonspor v Basaksehir Under different circumstances that would be a great game to look forward to. However, the hosts can't find the way to score for two games in a row and got themselves trapped in a circle of draws. The visitors on the other side are not in a good either and if they don't win this game, the chances to win the the title, could slip away. Both teams to score is our tip.

Kasimpasa v Galatasaray Crucial game for the visitors who need to start winning in away matches, if they want to be crowned champions this season. Kasimpasa though, made all the right moves to distance themselves from the relegation but they are not a better side and in better form than Galatasaray. Away win with Over 2.5 goals is my tip.

Best of Luck!

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Spanish La Liga & Turkish Super League Football

9/2/2018

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Good afternoon from UK folks. Nice soccer games are coming up this weekend and the football action continues midweek with Champions and Europa League.
Having said that, its an important factor to take into account for your bets this weekend, if a team you want to bet on, might keep on the bench some key players for the upcoming European games. Better check the first 11s who start the game.

Spanish La Liga The 23rd fixture opens today with Atletic Bilbao ''welcoming'' the team of Las Palmas. Under different circumstances this would be be considered an ''easy'' home win but the hosts are not in a good form recently and they travel to Moscow next week for the Europa League game.
Las Palmas on the other hand besides their difficult situation and position on the leader-board, they are stress free on today's game. Against the odds, I think we will see a tight game, specially if Atletic decide to leave key players on the bench. My tip is 2-3 goals, the price is evens (2.00) and going higher. Scores 2-0 & 1-1 worth a small bet as well.

Tomorrow morning Villareal faces Alaves in an equally important game. The visitors have been improved significantly recently and they defend nicely. Under 2.5 goals is my tip and I don't rule out an away win. Next game Malaga vs Atletico Madrid, no offence for the fans but I will skip this game because they play the most boring football I have ever watched the last 3-4 years.
Leganes is too good to lose all three points at home against Eibar. Draw is my strongest indication in this game for cashout/trading.
Next game at night Real Sociedad plays away against Real Madrid. I wouldn't put my money on Madrid unless I see the first 11s for both teams announced. Although if there was one game to pick up for Over 4.5 goals inplay for cashout, this game would be.

Turkish Super League As always things are ''complicated'' in this league. Now if you ask me why I am following it, is simply because it is an exciting league with a high average of goals per game and because of their unpredictability. There is awesome value if you get it right. Yeni hosts Kasimpasa today in a quite interesting game. First look shows Draw but that could not be the final result. My tip is Both teams to score and worths a small bet on scores 1-1 & 2-1.

This year we celebrate 10 years of 4LiveSports (previously named Betfairakias) and we are giving away free of charge some High Value Correct Scores & Value Bets for the upcoming games of this weekend and next week's.

All you need to do is to become a member and we will contact you via email.

No commitments, no fees and you can opt out of the newsletter anytime you want!

Please always bet responsibly - Exclusion of Liability 4LiveSports Value Bets.

Best of Luck!

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Reasons to start betting on Betfair Exchange

7/2/2018

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Hello folks. Since I am receiving many questions about why I prefer betting on Betfair rather than at Bookmakers, I thought it would be nice to explain my point of view but also to share personal experiences with you.
It's been already 18 years since Betfair founded and the 'Player vs Player' model which revolutionised the world of betting. It was a very smart and unique idea to give the opportunity to punters (players) to create the odds, to offer the odds, to accept or decline the odds or to leave a ''standing offer'' (unmatched bets) pre game or/and inplay. All that is in your hands and is so easy to be done in seconds via your Betfair account!
What was also very smart about the Betfair Exchange idea, was the fact that completely changed the punters' approach towards a betting company. Betfair charge a small percentage of commission on players' winnings. Therefore, the company is a winner anyway because of the 'Player vs Player' betting model. But what that really means for us?

1) Higher Pre game prices/odds with Betfair. Because of the 'win-win' situation where Betfair Exchange makes money out of the players' winnings, the company has absolutely no reason to interfere with the odds/prices compilation and creation. (This is mostly down to punters. I say mostly because there are other also contributing factors to Exchange pricing creation. e.g Traders or perhaps Betfair also might push cash in Lay markets in order when the liquidity/cash is low).

In most of the popular markets there are better prices. There is no doubt about the scores markets when Bookmakers are really tight because of the Liability/Payout risks.
In Betfair and depends on the market, the prices can be much higher (even if you deduct the commission) and in some cases more than 100%! eg. Any Other Draw (win when is higher than 3-3) can be offered by the bookmakers in separate markets 4-4 and 5-5 but no higher than 450.00 - 500.00 (in rare cases they offer more) when in Betfair it can reach a single price of 1000.00 maximum! (we do not analyse the probabilities here but the odds availability compared to Bookmakers)

2) Betfair offers Higher In Play game prices/odds. In our days the Bookmakers use modern and intelligent online tools. The prices that we see online by them inplay, are calculated based on the probabilities of positive outcomes for the markets, where there is risk for the bookmaker to have an increased payout (Liability). Their odds/prices are also in line and adaptable with the current scores, game conditions (statistics,cards,active or passive game, stats of attacks and shots etc.). When this happens, when the bookmaker ''feels threaten'', they will ''mask'' the odds/prices to cause confusion to the punters and they will not hesitate to 'block' and/or remove markets. For example, look at the screenshots below.

We see above the score in 47 minutes is 1-1 and at this point, this bookmaker removes/blocks the market of Over 2.5 goals. It displays the Match Goals Over/Under 3.5 goals for the SAME price 1.83! The same time in Betfair.......

ALL MARKETS are open and the most important is the punters show you and offer you the REAL prices! In terms of profit, if in worst scenario take off 5% commission of 1.94
in Under 3.5 goals, still Betfair price is higher.
No comments about making profit in Over 3.5 goals potential outcome, the profit in Betfair is significant higher than the Bookmaker! (PS take into account that I took the screenshots asap after the second goal. Have in mind that because of the ''live making odds'' in Betfair, that's why there is a ''price gap'' between ''Back'' and ''Lay''. A minute after the punters came to more attractive offers and closed the ''price gap''. For example, a minute later, the price for Under 3.5 goals went up to 1.96 and 2.05 for Over 3.5 goals. The price for the bookmaker remained the same until the kick off of the 2nd half and the next 10 minutes in play)

3) Feel free to trade or choose the reliable cashout option. Betfair offers the free choice of trading. It's very easy to manually trade your bets and have a ''win-win'' situation in any outcome when in play, the current score (or other market) is in your bet's favour. When you manually trade, you have the flexibility split the winnings in any proportions you see it fit. In contrast with the most of the bookmakers who they will give you just the option ''Take it or leave it''.
In multiple markets like scores for example, Betfair gives you the opportunity to combine the profit or even spread the amount of potential profit as you see it fit. For example, see the image below.

Lets assume that Pre game we bet £2.50 in score 2-2 and £2.00 in 3-3 scores as you can see the highlighted ones in yellow. (Forget the cashout button just pretend it does not exist.)
Now, lets assume that the score is 2-2 in-play but I make a judgement and I think the score will not stay 2-2 until the end. In this case, I decide to cashout partially my profit from the 2-2 score and have profit across any other potential scores result EXCEPT the case of 3-3.

If 3-3 would be the final score, my profit would be £291.18 after trading when initially I would not earn more than £261.72. Since the current score 2-2 remains and the prices drop, it's in my hands (and the available Lay prices) to set my potential profit across all other scores by just Laying the score 2-2.
For the readers who have no idea about Exchange and looks ''gibberish', just see it this way. When the current score is in your bet's favour but you think that you might lose it in the end, then you can ''sacrifice'' profit for other scores favour and perhaps you come out of that a bigger winner! The bookmakers are still ''scratching'' their heads about this feature in Exchange.
If you don't want to trade, Betfair offers a cashout option which ''does not hold back'' the profit as it happens many times with the Bookmakers. The reasons are explained above and are simple. Betfair's cashout available amount is depending on the odds you have bet on and the available prices the other punters offer in-play.

3a) When you cash-out and how to calculate your profit? Big topic for conversation. Definitely you should have come up with a strategy and first of all do you know your betting company well?
For example. If you bet an 2.5 over goals @ 2.00 or higher and it happens 2 goals in 20 - to 35 minutes, and cash out gives profit 75% to 85%. I will cashout.

When NOT to cashout? Very rarely I cash out when I get less than 50% of the profit, unless there are Red Cards or other conditions which do not benefit my bet. If my score is not coming through in play then I do NOT cashout! If it comes through early in the game, and it depends on the timining I would consider profit of 50% or higher. Certainly from the 80' minute of the game and later on, I shall cash out out and under reasonable conditions. I should have a good profit with at least over 80% on Betfair's Exchange.

4) The New Sportsbook powered by Exchange. This is sweet. We talk about a Bookmaker within Betfair Exchange. Why this happens? The main problem is that in Exchange, you can't create a multiple coupon and there are many punters who love multiples! Betfair could not disregard this and loaded their own SportsBook.
Its very user friendly in my view, with nice eye catching colours and competitive prices/odds with other bookmakers. Now, in most popular sports and football leagues, Betfair's Sportsbook offer the ''Price Rush'' option when the prices are pushed higher by the power of Exchange.
Don't get me wrong, there is no way the Sportsbook to have same price with Exchange but the boost will be significant. I have compared many a ''Rush Price'' multiple in football with other popular bookmakers and the payout was same or higher most of the times.
Another feature which is really cool on Betfair's Sportsbook, is the ability to cashout most of the markets and Special Combination Bets such as: Patent, Lucky 15 etc. Also it splits the cashout options of your multiples! e.g you create a coupon of 5 games and bet on trebles, fourfolds and fivefold. Betfair will provide you 3 cashout options for this multiple!
This is amazing, in contrast with most of the other bookmakers who will let you cashout only the straight multiples like treble, fourfold etc. or in case of the above example some Bookmakers would allow you to cashout only the highest one which is Fivefold in this case.

Mainly for the above reasons, this is why I recommend Betfair Exchange. The account will never close because you are a winner. If you win then Betfair earns commission and sounds Fair to me.

Open your Betfair account today and bet on the REAL prices! Feel free to show your appreciation to 4LiveSports and open an account via this suggested link.

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European Football Tips and Games Analysis

5/2/2018

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Good morning folks. I have not been posting here for a while as have been really busy with bits and pieces but we are always on twitter and facebook. Follow us for value bets and inplay soccer tips.
Before I go ahead with the today's football tips, I would like to reply to a few questions. The help section is updated.

EPL - Watford v Chelsea Both teams are having a hard time recently. No they are trying to step up and return to good results. Watford is under new management and an endless list of injured and suspended players in the defence line.

(Watford will continue to be without goalkeeper Heurelho Gomes with a back complaint. Didier Ndong could make his first Hornets appearance following his deadline-day switch from Sunderland.Younes Kaboul (foot), Miguel Britos (ankle), Kiko Femenia, Will Hughes (both hamstring), Craig Cathcart, and Nathaniel Chalobah (all knee) remain unavailable. Information is courtesy of 7M.com.cn)

Chelsea in the other hand have Captain Conte and his crew, sailing without a compass in the wild waters of English Premier League.

(Chelsea new boys Olivier Giroud and Emerson Palmieri are in contention for their debuts.
Striker Giroud and defender Palmieri arrived at Stamford Bridge last week, although they may have to settle for places on the bench at best as they return to full fitness following recent injuries.
Centre-back Andreas Christensen, who limped off with a hamstring problem against Bournemouth on Wednesday, and striker Alvaro Morata (back) are out, but forward Willian (hamstring) could feature while defender David Luiz (ankle) has returned to training.Information is courtesy of 7M.com.cn)

The Bookies - These facts alone only create a riddle for the first 11s in today's game. The Bookies are cautious on this and the Betfair Exchange gives such a small edge to Over 2.5 goals. Although, they favour Chelsea a winner in the Great London's area derby.

The Value - H2H statistics wants Watford to not have won a single game against Chelsea since 2004 and in terms of current form Watford remains the worst performing team at Home Games. No matter how much could try to defend today, it won't be easy. Over 2.5 goals at price 1.92 at the moment in Betfair's Exchange sounds good to me.

La Liga - Las Palmas v Malaga With all due respect to both teams fans, this is the ''Derby of the Fallen''. This game is beyond worth of betting analysis.

The Bookies - Betfair Exchange and Asian Odds strongly disagree on our website today. The Asians favour Malaga with 2.88 when Betfair value Malaga at 3.84. Betfair gives an edge to Under 2.5 goals but Asians favour slightly the Over 2.5 goals. It will interesting to see who got it right in the end.

The Value - If these teams can't score against each other today, then better to pack their stuff for Secunda Division. Both teams to score at 1.81 at the moment in Betfair's Exchange is not bad at all. Let the best team win because in the end, Draw doesn't help neither of teams.

TUR Super League - Trabzonspor v Goztepe It could be the game of the Day if the hosts had a full squad and visitors still had Jahovic, the guy who scored half the team's goals so far but... ''in the chairman's wisdom'', they let the player go.

The Bookies - In Asia they still favour the hosts with a win price 1.75 but in Betfair Exchange the price drifted to 1.92 after the announcement of key players absence in today's game. What they agree on though is the Over 2.5 goals where the price is between 1.75 to 1.81

The Value - This game gives me a headache because the visitors could take advantage of the hosts problems and grab a point or three! What I disagree with the Bookies and Exchange is to give such a big edge to Over 2.5 goals. I think it will be a tight game between 2-3 goals. Maybe I get this wrong but the value is great as nearly evens (2.00) now.

Keep an eye on our Facebook and Twitter pages for last minute correct scores and other value bets.

Best of Luck!

Comments

Live Soccer Betting

5/11/2017

Comments

Hello folks. I am back in football action today after having a nice little break in Central Europe. The leagues I am after today are La Liga, English Premier League, Turkish Super League and maybe I will ''touch'' some Scandinavian games.

Small bets and hopefully big wins! Please bet responsibly and for biggest cashout/trading wins, we recommend you to open an account on Betfair's Exchange. Welcome Bonus for new sign ups, terms and conditions apply.

Tips will be posted on blog's comments' section just before the game's kick off after we post notification on twitter/facebook.

Best of Luck!

Comments

Live Football Value Betting

21/10/2017

Comments

Hello folks. Today is not a day for the ''faint-hearted'' punters. Live Soccer Betting today with games of English, Spanish, Turkish, Swedish and Norwegian Premier Leagues.

All tips posted on comments below only published before the kick off.

Small bets and hopefully big wins as we are after high prices today! Please bet responsibly and for biggest cashout/trading wins, we recommend to open an account on Betfair's Exchange. Welcome Bonus for new sign ups, terms and conditions apply.

Best of Luck!

Comments

Live Betting with Mr Sherlock Goal!

15/10/2017

Comments

Hello folks. Live Soccer Betting today with games of English, Spanish, Turkish, Swedish and Norwegian Premier Leagues. All tips posted on comments below only published before the kick off.
Small bets and hopefully big wins! Please bet responsibly and for biggest cashout/trading wins, we recommend to open an account on Betfair's Exchange. Welcome Bonus for new sign ups, terms and conditions apply.

Best of Luck!

Comments

All eyes on South America World Cup Qualifiers!

10/10/2017

Comments

Joey, that's for you bud!

(Right, let's start with this. I LOVE Latin football and ''all
that''. Last fixture today and only the Brazilians can
smile as they have qualified ages ago. The rest of them
.... is a different story. Six teams will throw everything
they got today in an attempt to make it to the next round
but only 3 spots are available.
Paraguay - Venezuela Playing at home and for such a
crucial game, ideally the Paraguayans should win that
game easily and with some luck in other games' results,
they could ''snick in'' the 3rd or 4th spot and see them
qualified. Hold on! We' re talking about Paraguay and
one of the most ''unreliable'' teams when are playing at
home.
The visitors on the other hand has been an ''oasis'' for
the bookies lately and although at bottom of the leader-
board, we have seen them drew 3 consecutive times
against top teams as Colombia, Argentina and Uruguay. Some teams simply don't
give up and from what I have heard, they have no intentions to make the life of Paraguay
easy in today's game.
The Bookies - 1.40 maximum is the price for Paraguay and I simply say: ''thank you but NO thank you Bookies'', for the reasons explained above. (Won)
The Value - I expect a tough and low score game. 2-3 goals is my estimate and I find good value in this market. In Betfair's Sportsbook the price is available as high as 1.90 at the moment. (Lost)
Ecuador - Argentina The hosts prove to us once again that: ''Impossible is nothing''.
After they suffered five losses in a row, finally managed to knock themselves out of the
competition. Incredible! Will they increase the record to six losses today?
The ''Multi Million'' worth team of Argentina find themselves with the back on the wall!
Spiderman is not going to save them this time unless they decide to play some serious
football and grab the points of win! BUT... would that be enough? Nope! They are still
depending on other games results and it would be such an emotional site to watch those Multimillions of worth players celebrating with tears in eyes, their advance to the next
round. (apologies for the sarcasm).
The Bookies - 1.45 maximum is the price for the away team's win and.... I don't like it folks.
I do agree with the Argentinian's win though. (Won)
The Value - One way or another Argentina should win this game with 2-3 goals final score.(Won)

Peru - Colombia (Mr Sherlock Goal's game of the day)
Game is on! Peruvians are on a roll and unbeaten in the last 5 games. They are so close
now to qualify but in their way is the all time ''demon'' Colombia, who they have never
managed to win over since 2004 in a formal match! Can they break the deadlock?
Colombians can only blame themselves and they need a win to ensure advance to the next stage of this competition. H2H is on their side but not the current form statistics.
The Bookies - Give slight advantage to the home team but the trend has changed and start favouring the Colombians in today's game. I am ruling out the away win to be honest although history disagrees with me but not the current form. (Won)
The Value - If this game was not the last of this round, I would bet ''blindly'' the draw
however, that could be a catastrophic result for both teams today! Although I think Draw is
a strong choice in this game, I find great value in Over 2.5 goals market as both teams
intend to play open and attacking football from the very start. (Lost)

Uruguay - Bolivia The hosts ''unexpectedly'' drew last week and it was a goalless one against the ''mighty'' Venezuela, when Bolivia showed to Brazilians ''who's the boss at
home''. Uruguay is the only team with a clear two points advantage on the 2nd spot of the leader-board.
The Bookies - would give us a price of 1.01 if it was up to them but given the recent
performances of Bolivia, extended the courtesy to 1.20 maximum. Yep, hands up I can't
see Uruguay messing up in this game. (Won)
The Value - I really can't see anything going wrong for the hosts in this game and if you
don't mind the ridiculously low price in match odds, then by all means go ahead with this. You know am not a ''fan'' of low prices so I ll choose the Over 1.5 goals in the first half.
More likely the hosts would like to set things right from the start of the game but wouldn't be surprised if Bolivia scores first. (Won)

Brazil - Chile Many rumours about this game whether the Brazilians will continue to
''dropping gears'' and ruin the chances of Argentina or prove what the Brazilian football
federation say: ''Brazil plays for Brazil''! Some players are not stressed out though.
Top Brazilians stars Neymar and Alves spotted out on Sunday night, meeting the legends Ronaldo and Nene over a drink or MORE!
Chile will be tested today away from their ''stronghold'' but we all know that away games
are not their ''forte''. A draw or loss would ruin their chances to qualify!
The Bookies - Offer up to a mighty 1.77 price for the hosts' win when they play at home and apparently with nearly full squad!! My spies inform me that only 2 players from the
bench will come in to the first 11's squad. The question is... Why the bookies offer such a
high price?
The Value - Do you really have to bet on this game? Just watch and enjoy it! This is awesome value!

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Reasons to start betting on Betfair Exchange

European Football Tips and Games Analysis

Live Soccer Betting

Live Football Value Betting

Live Betting with Mr Sherlock Goal!

All eyes on South America World Cup Qualifiers!

Mr Sherlock Goal

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