Before I go ahead with the today's football tips, I would like to reply to a few questions. The help section is updated.
EPL - Watford v Chelsea Both teams are having a hard time recently. No they are trying to step up and return to good results. Watford is under new management and an endless list of injured and suspended players in the defence line.
(Watford will continue to be without goalkeeper Heurelho Gomes with a back complaint. Didier Ndong could make his first Hornets appearance following his deadline-day switch from Sunderland.Younes Kaboul (foot), Miguel Britos (ankle), Kiko Femenia, Will Hughes (both hamstring), Craig Cathcart, and Nathaniel Chalobah (all knee) remain unavailable. Information is courtesy of 7M.com.cn)
Chelsea in the other hand have Captain Conte and his crew, sailing without a compass in the wild waters of English Premier League.
(Chelsea new boys Olivier Giroud and Emerson Palmieri are in contention for their debuts.
Striker Giroud and defender Palmieri arrived at Stamford Bridge last week, although they may have to settle for places on the bench at best as they return to full fitness following recent injuries.
Centre-back Andreas Christensen, who limped off with a hamstring problem against Bournemouth on Wednesday, and striker Alvaro Morata (back) are out, but forward Willian (hamstring) could feature while defender David Luiz (ankle) has returned to training.Information is courtesy of 7M.com.cn)
The Bookies - These facts alone only create a riddle for the first 11s in today's game. The Bookies are cautious on this and the Betfair Exchange gives such a small edge to Over 2.5 goals. Although, they favour Chelsea a winner in the Great London's area derby.
The Value - H2H statistics wants Watford to not have won a single game against Chelsea since 2004 and in terms of current form Watford remains the worst performing team at Home Games. No matter how much could try to defend today, it won't be easy. Over 2.5 goals at price 1.92 at the moment in Betfair's Exchange sounds good to me.
La Liga - Las Palmas v Malaga With all due respect to both teams fans, this is the ''Derby of the Fallen''. This game is beyond worth of betting analysis.
The Bookies - Betfair Exchange and Asian Odds strongly disagree on our website today. The Asians favour Malaga with 2.88 when Betfair value Malaga at 3.84. Betfair gives an edge to Under 2.5 goals but Asians favour slightly the Over 2.5 goals. It will interesting to see who got it right in the end.
The Value - If these teams can't score against each other today, then better to pack their stuff for Secunda Division. Both teams to score at 1.81 at the moment in Betfair's Exchange is not bad at all. Let the best team win because in the end, Draw doesn't help neither of teams.
TUR Super League - Trabzonspor v Goztepe It could be the game of the Day if the hosts had a full squad and visitors still had Jahovic, the guy who scored half the team's goals so far but... ''in the chairman's wisdom'', they let the player go.
The Bookies - In Asia they still favour the hosts with a win price 1.75 but in Betfair Exchange the price drifted to 1.92 after the announcement of key players absence in today's game. What they agree on though is the Over 2.5 goals where the price is between 1.75 to 1.81
The Value - This game gives me a headache because the visitors could take advantage of the hosts problems and grab a point or three! What I disagree with the Bookies and Exchange is to give such a big edge to Over 2.5 goals. I think it will be a tight game between 2-3 goals. Maybe I get this wrong but the value is great as nearly evens (2.00) now.
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Best of Luck!