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Russia FIFA World Cup 2018 - Day 4

17/6/2018

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Good morning folks! Pretty much our predictions are spot on although Lady Luck turned her back in a few tips so far. No hard feelings and I can't wait for today's games!

Costa Rica - Serbia. Experience vs Youth describes this game and it's going to be a tough one for me to predict.
The Costa Ricans once again are present in the world cup with the same ''team's recipe'' but.... a little bit ''matured'' this time. Main strength used to be the solid defensive style and effective counter attacks. The reason I say ''used to be'', it's simply because I don't see them defending lately as good as before. 
The Serbians though look a more ''refreshed'' team with a good mix of young and talented players, but their lack of experience cost them a few lost games in the past.
If the ''old fox'' Costa Rica defend effectively today they could get away with a win of 1-0 score but if not, Serbia could win this game with a 2-1 score.


Germany - Mexico. The ''German Machine'' is not working as flawless as before. There are weaknesses in their defence and the latest interference of the Turkish Prime Minister in the matter of 2 ''German players'', raised a hell of issues for the team. More likely, those 2 players won't make the first 11 player to start today's game.
Mexico in the other hand, is not in a great form lately as a ''whole team'' although, most of  the key players, individually perform greatly in their clubs in North and South America leagues. I think Mexico's manager struggles to make things work in the team and this could be their downfall in the tournament.
My Main tip is Over 2.5 goals and the value is very good up to 1.86 at the moment on Betfair's Exchange. Germany could over come their own problems and win with a dramatic score 3-2 or a ''cruising'' and easy 4-1 score.

​Brazil - Switzerland. I don't have many things to say about this match. If there's some justice in this football world, then the Argentina's and Peru's drama won't be repeated in this game.
The Swiss are a good side but not a match for the Brazilians. I predict score 2-0 or 3-1.

Best of Luck to your teams!
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FIFA World Cup 2018 - Groups Analysis & Betting Tips

12/6/2018

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Fifa World Cup 2018 - Russia
Not long now folks! One of the most celebrated football events take place in Russia this year. In tournaments like World Cup, we have seen many ''unexpected'' surprises in the past. Meaning? I am talking of ''popular outsiders'' teams to make it through the Group stages to the next round, and ''undefeated favourites'' to leave the competition early.
Once again, this competition would not be different from the previous ones. There's no way all the ''favourites'' to qualify from the group stages to the next round and certainly we will see other teams surprising us. 
What To Look For ? Teams which defend effectively, have great chances of making it to the next round. Tactics matter during the group stages and is proven in the past over and over again. 
What To Avoid or Bet Against ?
 Teams which are considered clear favourites but their recent form shows they have been struggling to win or/and conceding many goals recently.

Russia - Saudi Arabia. It's tradition for the hosts of the competition to do the ''grand opening''. The Bookmakers could not undervalue the Saudi Arabians more. The Russians are not the great team used to be once upon a time and Arabians coped well recently against strong teams such as Italy and Germany. My estimate is 2-3 goals in this game and scores 2-1 and 1-1 for inplay trading. (Lost)

Egypt - Uruguay. ''Important competitions are for important players''. My mention is for no other than Salah, that Egyptian great player which all fans look forward to seeing him playing if manages to recover in-time for the opening game. Egypt as a team though it's an enigma. Their performance has many ups and downs and morale is easily shaken in absence of key players. At the other side of the pitch, Uruguay's stars need no introductions and is the clear favourite in this game. Having said that, defence has been always their struggle but lately they defend brilliantly without losing their effectiveness in attack. Could that means the return of Uruguay to the top spots of the competition of they will flap again? If Salah plays that would be a concern for the Latins and I expect a tough game. My prediction is Under 2.5 goals and scores 0-1 & 1-1. (Won)

Morocco - Iran. Game is on! The Moroccans are in a fab form even without their star player Nabil Dinar who is suffering from an injury and is a race now to be fit for the opening game. The Iranians on the other had received ''devastating news'' from Nike that is a business decision with immediate effect to discontinue supplying them with shoes. The Iran's team coach stated this is a very serious problem as the players ''have used to'' their equipment. (Really? lol) The players of Iran though don't look very concerned. They arrived in style in Moscow. Wearing  their Dolce & Cabana ''playboy'' style suits are having fun and focusing on perfect selfies photos.  This game gathers a big chance for for draw although I give the edge to Morocco.  I will be surprised to see early or many goals in this game and subsequently I go for Under 2.5 goals and scores 1-0 & 1-1. (Half Won)

Spain v Portugal. What a game! A classic derby between two arrivals with  great football history and achievements. I agree with Bookies that Spain has an edge as they look more composed and complete as a team. The European Champions of 2016 are a question mark for me in this competition. They don't play great football but they manage to get the results by having Lady Luck on their side many times. Will this continue in this competition? 1-0 & 1-1 scores in this game. I wouldn't bother investing on Under 2.5 goals as an early goal could dynamite this game. (Half won - Lay Under 2.5 goals or avoid)

 France - Australia. Are the French serious this time? I hope so because they got the most awesome squad in their last 10 years! The Ausies on the other hand rely a lot in teamwork and it works! My prediction is that Ausies could go through to the next stage with 4 points second after France. I have changed my mind since the last time I tipped this game. Could be a humiliating defeat for the Aussies? Could the history repeat itself? Am not sure about this to be honest but if you want invest small bets on Over 2.5 goals as main tip, 0-0 and 2-1 scores for inplay/trading the return could be Gold!  (Won)

Argentina - Iceland. I respect the Vikings from the North and they are such a joyful team with awesome fans but I fear they are no match for Argentina. One way or another the Argentinians can win this game. Handicap -2 for Argentina and scores 3-1 & 4-2. (Lost)

Peru - Denmark.  I am not sure why the odds are favouring Denmark and Peru is considered the ''outsider''. The Peruvians are more consistent and with Guerrero back to their ranks, are a strong side. The Danish are a good team but they lack of quality and ''star players''. I think Danes will be lucky to escape with a Draw in this game and I split the bets between draw and scores 1-1 & 1-0 for inplay cashout/trading.  (Lost)

​Croatia - Nigeria. Super Eagles are underestimated but this what they want. These words come from the Nigerian players who look ready for the upcoming game. The Croatians do not impress me a lot although they have a few very good players. Against the odds I like the Under 2.5 goals in this game and scores 0-1 & 2-0 for inplay/cashout. (Won)
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All eyes on South America World Cup Qualifiers!

10/10/2017

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PictureJoey, that's for you bud!
 (Right, let's start with this. I LOVE Latin football and ''all
that''. Last fixture today and only the Brazilians can
smile as they have qualified ages ago. The rest of them
.... is a different story. Six teams will throw everything
they got today in an attempt to make it to the next round
but only 3 spots are available.
Paraguay - Venezuela Playing at home and for such a
crucial game, ideally the Paraguayans should win that
game easily and with some luck in other games' results,
they could ''snick in'' the 3rd or 4th spot and see them
qualified. Hold on! We' re talking about Paraguay and
one of the most ''unreliable'' teams when are playing at
home.
The visitors on the other hand has been an ''oasis'' for
the bookies lately and although at bottom of the leader-
​board, we have seen them drew 3 consecutive times
against top teams as Colombia, Argentina and Uruguay. Some teams simply don't
give up and from what I have heard, they have no intentions to make the life of Paraguay
easy in today's game.

The Bookies - 1.40 maximum is the price for Paraguay and I simply say: ''thank you but NO thank you Bookies'', for the reasons explained above. (Won)
The Value - I expect a tough and low score game. 2-3 goals is my estimate and I find good value in this market. In Betfair's Sportsbook the price is available as high as 1.90 at the moment. (Lost)
Ecuador - Argentina
 The hosts prove to us once again that: ''Impossible is nothing''.
After they suffered five losses in a row, finally managed to knock themselves out of the
competition. Incredible! Will they increase the record to six losses today?
The ''Multi Million'' worth team of Argentina find themselves with the back on the wall!
Spiderman is not going to save them this time unless they decide to play some serious
football and grab the points of win! BUT... would that be enough? Nope! They are still
depending on other games results and it would be such an emotional site to watch those Multimillions of worth players celebrating with tears in eyes, their advance to the next
round. (apologies for the sarcasm).

The Bookies - 1.45 maximum is the price for the away team's win and.... I don't like it folks.
I do agree with the Argentinian's win though. 
(Won)
The Value - One way or another Argentina should win this game with 2-3 goals final score.(Won)

Peru - Colombia (Mr Sherlock Goal's game of the day) 
Game is on! Peruvians are on a roll and unbeaten in the last 5 games. They are so close
now to qualify but in their way is the all time ''demon'' Colombia, who they have never
managed to win over since 2004 in a formal match! Can they break the deadlock?
Colombians can only blame themselves and they need a win to ensure advance to the next stage of this competition. H2H is on their side but not the current form statistics.

The Bookies - Give slight advantage to the home team but the trend has changed and start favouring the Colombians in today's game. I am ruling out the away win to be honest although history disagrees with me but not the current form. (Won)
The Value - If this game was not the last of this round, I would bet ''blindly'' the draw
however, that could be a catastrophic result for both teams today! Although I think Draw is
a strong choice in this game, I find great value in Over 2.5 goals market as both teams
intend to play open and attacking football from the very start. 
 
(Lost)

Uruguay - Bolivia The hosts ''unexpectedly'' drew last week and it was a goalless one against the ''mighty'' Venezuela, when Bolivia showed to Brazilians ''who's the boss at
home''. Uruguay is the only team with a clear two points advantage on the 2nd spot of the leader-board.

The Bookies - would give us a price of 1.01 if it was up to them but given the recent
performances of Bolivia, extended the courtesy to 1.20 maximum. Yep, hands up I can't
see Uruguay messing up in this game. 
(Won)
The Value - I really can't see anything going wrong for the hosts in this game and if you
don't mind the ridiculously low price in match odds, then by all means go ahead with this. You know am not a ''fan'' of low prices so I ll choose the Over 1.5 goals in the first half.
More likely the hosts would like to set things right from the start of the game but wouldn't be surprised if Bolivia  scores first. 
(Won)

Brazil - Chile Many rumours about this game whether the Brazilians will continue to
''dropping gears'' and ruin the chances of Argentina or prove what the Brazilian football
federation say: ''Brazil plays for Brazil''! Some players are not stressed out though.
Top Brazilians stars Neymar and Alves spotted out on Sunday night, meeting the legends Ronaldo and Nene over a drink or MORE!
Chile will be tested today away from their ''stronghold'' but we all know that away games
are not their ''forte''. A draw or loss would ruin their chances to qualify!

The Bookies - Offer up to a mighty 1.77 price for the hosts' win when they play at home and apparently with nearly full squad!! My spies inform me that only 2 players from the
bench will come in to the first 11's squad. The question is... Why the bookies offer such a
high price?

The Value - Do you really have to bet on this game? Just watch and enjoy it! This is awesome value!

Comments

The Latins - Fifa World Cup 2018

15/11/2016

Comments

 
Picture
Hello folks. It's been a long time for sure but pressing matters and work,work,work leave me no much time for blogging. (sad)
7 fixtures remain until the end of this Preliminary round and
'anything' can happen. 
The statistics show that ​'Homes' are in
generally 'strongholds' and am not surprised in a way to see
the home win paying so high in the following game.


Bolivia v Paraguay  Straight to the point we check a very
interesting but 'tricky' game. Both teams have many ups and
downs recently and more than ever, this is a very deciding
momentum. Under different circumstances I would back the
visitors 'blindly' but looking their latest 'humiliating' defeat at
home, they don't quiet inspire me. I agree with the Bookies,this game could go either way
and I don't think it is a 'trick' to see such a low payout for the Bolivia's home win which is in
theory the underdog. Over 2.5goals is my suggestion and I find value in the draw with
scores 2-2 & 3-3. The highest prices are offered in Betfair Exchange.

​
Ecuador v Venezuela
 When a team (Venezuela) wins a game by 5 goals margin, it can't
go unnoticed. Clear favourite for the Bookies is the team of Ecuador, a point I would agree
at 'certain extend'.Their current form is not brilliant and I think the 1.27 offered by the
bookies is so not 'worth it'. Both teams want the win and they will 'go for it'. Over 2.5 goals
is my suggestion but I think it could be difficult win or loss for the home team. Feeling of
placing a 'fun bet'? Scores 2-1 and 1-2 pay out greatly on Betfair's Exchange.


Argentina v Colombia
​  'Its now or never' for the Argentinians and I can't imagine watching
a World Cup without Messi (even if am not a Barca fan). Not much to say about this game and I suggest Argentina to win with Over 2.5 goals score.

Chile v Uruguay
  Do we really have to bet on this game? The Draw factor is really high in
this game however, I am not sure if that would be the final result. Edge to the visitors but if
you really but really want to bet on this game, I think the Under 2.5 goals offers good value.


Peru v Brazil The Brazilians are in a great form and it reminds in many cases the old
powerful Brazilian team. The hosts were thundering with goals against Paraguay in last
game and what an away victory that was! Edge to Over 2.5 goals when both teams find easily the way to push the ball to the ''net''. It could be a betting upset and I like the scores 2-1 & 1-2 in this game.


Any thoughts for these games? Feel free to share below.

Best of Luck!

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    Mr Sherlock Goal

    Football games analysis and value tips mainly for exchange betting, cash out and trading. La Liga, English Premier League, US MLS and Scandinavian Leagues. 

    Mr Sherlock Goal
    Mr Sherlock Goal - ’’I don't like gambling but I do like to investing in betting''.




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