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30/05/20 Mr Sherlock Goal analyses the 29th fixture of German Bundesliga 1 !
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German Bundesliga I - 29th Fixture Forecast and Betting Tips

30/5/2020

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Hello folks. No time to DILLYDALLY guys as the games in Bundesliga start soon. Leverkusen did it yesterday with with low score narrow win 0-1 against Freiburg. We need to be cautious because the teams are getting tired when playing almost every 3-4 days from now on. Anytimes scores and Over 3.5 goals Patent and Trebles are my suggestions for today's games.

Wolfsburg - Eintracht Frakfurt. The hosts managed to hammer Leverkusen last week, clearly they could win this game. Over 3.5 goals & anytime score 3-2.

Mainz - Hoffenheim. Despite Hoffenheim's win last week, they did not convince me with their performance. I think they were very lucky against Koln. I like Mainz and I give them an edge with anytime score 3-2 and Over 3.5 goals.

Hertha Berlin - Augsburg. We have mentioned it from the restart of the league that Hertha is among the teams to look up for and I dare to say that they have strong chances to reach the 6th place which leads to Europa League qualification round. Anytime score 3-1 & Over 3.5 goals.


Schalke - Werder Bremen. I got better things to do rather than to analyse this game. Ok... If you insists then put your hand on your hand and back Under goals and score 0-1.


Bayern Munich - Dusseldorf. Match of the day for me! I expect the the visitors to give Bayern a hard-time. I find good value in the Over 5.5 goals & Draw for in play cashout / trading. Feeling adventurous and can afford it? Split bets in score 3-2, 2-2 & 3-3  for in play cashout / trading. It's worth to mention that the prices on Betfair's Exhange dropped for scores 3-2 from 48 to 32, for the score 2-2 from 65 to 46 and the 3-3 from 230 to 120!

Best of Luck and always bet responsibly!
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26/04/20 Vysshaya Liga - Belarusian Premier League football Tips

26/4/2020

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Hello folks. It's a beautiful Sunday afternoon in UK so I will cut it to the chase. Previously in Vysshaya Liga ..... Slavia Mozyr managed to lose ''in style'' with score 1-3 against the blurring FC Minsk. BATE left the field as a victor with score 0-2 against a pathetic Gorodeja who played very badly this time. My ''draw of the day'' game Brest vs Shakhtyor Soligorsk was thrown out of the window for one only reason. Brest could not simply score!

Slutsk - Belshina  37' LIVE!  The hosts play quite well today and the score is 2-0 so far but the visitors are not that bad. Both teams market offers evens odds (1/1 - 2.00) and it's not bad at all. 3-1 Could be the final score. 

Zhodino - Rukh Brest. Against the odds, I think these teams will score today. Draw sounds a fair result and if you feel adventurous, small bets in scores 2-1, 2-2 and 3-3 wouldn't harm.

Isloch Minsk - Vitebsk. Draw, draw, draw and again Draw. Scores 1-1 & 2-2.

Best of Luck, Be well, Stay safe!
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25/04/20 Vysshaya Liga - Belarusian Premier League football Tips

25/4/2020

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Picture''Temperature checked! Enjoy the game''.
Hello everyone. I hope you are all well
and safe but above all, please DON'T
drink the bleach / Clorox because it won't
kill the CoronaVirus, it will kill you!
In a different subject, the football its still
ON in Belarus. So far it's been a
very ''temperamental'' league in regards
to the fluency and consistency of scoring
goals.
It has nothing to do with each game's 
specifics and neither with the general 
average of goals scored. All prediction
models can simply fail to anticipate what's going to happen. In yesterday's 2 games, all bookmakers
would not payout more than 1.60 in the Under 2.5 goals market and the final scores were 1-3 & 3-0.
Another interesting fact is in 42 games so far, 20 games ended with a Home Win, 8 games ended
with a Draw and 14 games with an Away win. Why I find it interesting? Because the favourites hardly win so far. Are the yesterday's results the beginning of a rainstorm of goals and a turning point for the
Belarusians, or it just rained a little bit during the goals summer draught? 

Slavia Mozyr - FC Minsk. Both teams missed dozens of opportunities to score last week. The
previous confrontations shows an interesting trend of goals and I will back the scores 3-2 & 2-2 for
inplay cashout / trading.

Gorodeja - BATE. The visitors are ''favourites'' AGAIN at least according to the bookmakers. What I
see is..... The hosts play very good football so far and they get the results they want. 1-1 & 1-2 scores is
my tip for inplay / cashout trading. 

Brest - Shakhtyor. If there's any justice in the football world, this game should end with a big fat draw!
So.... yes, DRAW is my main tip for inplay cashout / trading and in attempt to glorify ourselves I close my
eyes and back the scores 2-2, 1-0 & 3-3. Why the 1-0? I am ''afraid'' the possibility of 0-0 and perhaps someone find the way to score a late goal.

Moving to the questions I have received, you Ask: '' Are the scores I predict in a random order ? ''.

The Answer is: ''No. The first score I type from the left hand side on your screen is always my favourite, and the second or third scores are the less favourites.

 You Ask: '' Are the correct score tips for singles only betting ? If it's not, how to create an accumulator or a multiple bet ? ''.

The 
Answer is: ''No they are not only for single betting. You can use the the correct scores tips to create an accumulator or a multiple bet but you have to be smart about it and make sure that you don't bet
more THAN you can afford to lose.
For example, if you want to not bet in singles scores or additionally if you want/can bet in singles and to
create a accumulator in today's games, you could create 2 bets of anytime scores since the value is
high.

From the above 3 games you can create 1 bet accumulator Treble/Patent. You take the first favourite score from each game ( 3-2, 1-1, 2-2) then place the amount you want to bet in the column of  Patent, double and treble. Same thing you repeat for the second favourite scores. Feeling inspired? You can also create correct scores for full time results Patents/Trebles but as I said, it all depends how much you can afford to risk and what's your focus in betting strategy.

Best of luck and always bet responsibly!

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19/01/20 Spanish La Liga football betting tips

19/1/2020

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Previously in La Liga ..... Levantes managed to not score at home and lost the game. Not a favourite after all as we predicted. Real Madrid struggled against Sevilla as we feared and the 2-3 goals prediction came through. In Osasuna's game it was Draw written all over and the main tip was a winner but.... very unlucky to see it ended without goals. Atletico Madrid the ''Messiah'', managed to bring back to life Eibar and ... words fail me.

Mallorca - Valencia
. 2-3 goals in this game, let the best team win!

Betis v Sociedad - Match of the Day! If there's any justice in this football world we could see at least 4 goals in this game and a high draw of 2-2, 3-3 or 4-4 for in play cash out.
I need Lady Luck to smile on me, I deserve it!

Villarreal v Espanyol Match of the Day 2!
 After that great performance of Espanyol against Barcelona and with full squad today, I will give them a chance today. I like the Draw and scores 2-2, 3-2 & 3-3 for in play Cash out. Many goals anyway!

Ath Bilbao - Celta Vigo
. Against the odds, I predict Over 3.5 goals in this game. Do you favour the hosts? Hm..... Am not sure.

Barcelona - Granada
. My favourite outsider for this season Granada, keeps dropping on the leader board. The curse of injuries in their ranks has no ending and the manager has no many suitable solutions left in the defence and middle-field areas. If Barcelona uses all their weapons today.... The hosts could easily win with Over 3.5 goals but I don't see that much value to be honest.

Best of Luck!
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12/01/20 English Premier League Games Analysis

12/1/2020

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Hello folks. Pretty much we were spot on yesterday with most of the value bets coming through, thank you so much for your messages and kind words. Spurs was a let down and Jose has a lot of work to do. 

Bournemouth - Watford. If the hosts can't get a point at least in this game today, then is time to farewell the EPL at the end of the season. Both teams will have to suffer the absence of many defenders players today and I don't think there are ideal solutions on their benches. I think the draw is favourite for in play trading but... will it rain goals or not? 
Although my studies shows between 1-3 goals, I will follow my instinct  and I go for scores 2-2 & 3-3 for inplay trading/cashout.

Aston Villa - Manchester City. Liverpool's last night win has scatter on the air any realistic chances for City to win the EPL title. After the Leicester's well predicted defeat, City has now a chance to rank on the 2nd place of the leader-board. 
Villa's performance has been improved recently but still in theory, they are no match for the City. In today's game, they will miss one key player from every line and that fact alone make it harder for them. I think it will rain goals in this game and I like the scores 1-3 and ...... 2-2. Over 3.5 goals looks strong here.

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11/01/20 English Premier League - Games Analysis

11/1/2020

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Happy the New Year everyone. Whoever you are and wherever you are in this world, we wish you a great 2020 full of love, health and peace.
I haven't been here for a while but I got some spare time today so let's see the latest statistics of the English Brexit Premier League.
Picture
The image is courtesy of 7M Sports
''Homes'' are strong this season and the trend of 2-3 goals average per game, remains ''strong''. It's interesting to take a look to the most frequent scores so far which reflects to a
​ certain extend, to the average of goals. Hopefully that trend will change soon and it will start raining goals in England.
Picture
The image is courtesy of 7M Sports.
Crystal Palace - Arsenal The hosts are doing so well this season and if they wouldn't have so many absent players from their defence line, who knows how much higher they could climb on the leaderboard! The ''gunners'' in the other hand have gained ground lately but winning an away game..... remains a struggle. I think the draw can remain for long time in this game and it could be the final result. Scores 1-1 & 2-2 for inplay trading, stand a good chance.  Correct Prediction 

Chelsea - Burnley Oh dear, dear me...... Chelsea drives their fans nuts this season with their unpredictable performance. They are doing terrible to good at home so far, and this is a fact. Burnley is..... just Burnley and they have nothing to lose today. My main tip is 2-3 goals but if you are such a hardcore Chelsea fan, the 2-0 anytime and final score could be ideal. (Angel don't cry loud tonight). Half Correct Prediction.

Everton - Brighton The toffes are back on track and.... away from the relegation zone. Although they are strong at home, the bookies are not clearly favour them in today's match. I expect an open game and both teams to score. Incorrect Prediction.

Leicester - Southampton.
Is it ''payback'' time for the Souths or the Foxes will prevail again? Over 2.5 goals is my main tip and scores 2-1 & 1-2. Correct Prediction 

Manchester Utd - Norwich. Ole Gunnar Solskjær is not the ''Messiah'' after all. Finally many ManU fans realised that it was totally unfair to pin all the blame on the previous manager Jose Mourinho. The visitors throw everything they can to move away from the last spot of the leaderboard but can they get anything today? 2-3 goals is my main tip. Incorrect Prediction.

Wolves - Newcastle.
 The wolfies behave quite ''strangely'' lately and they have dropped points in games which they had clear advantage and were by far the better side. The bookies favour them today with a price 1.50 but I will say ''no thank you''. Let the best team win. Correct Prediction - Avoid the favourite. 

Tottenham vs Liverpool - Match of the Day
 If the visitors will these 3 points today then I think, they will be crown champions by 80% chances.
Jose took over the Spurs in a difficult mission. Having their key players injured, Jose has no solutions specially in the attacking line, and is hard to win a derby. Can they at least draw today? Not sure about it and I will wait for the lineups to be announced. So far I think we will see at least 3 goals in this game.
​
(Update @ 17:18 loal UK time - Let's got for scores 1-2, 2-2 & 3-3 for inplay cashout trading).

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12/08/19 Flash Value Football Bets

12/8/2019

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Picture''Nasty'' by all means....
Hello guys, I didn't have enough time to post during the weekend but the quick tips we shared on our facebook and twitter pages have payout Gold with prices from 6.00 to 36.00! Thank you so much for your kind messages.
Swedish Allsvesnkan. Can Goteborg be the boss in today's game? Only time will tell.... Against the
bookmakers' predictions, I predict Under 2.5 goals with
scores 2-0, 1-1 because Falkenbergs have been recently
improved and they have fresh memories of the recent
draw with score 1-1 against Goteborg.

Kalmar had a lucky escape last week against
Hammarby who fought with 10 men for significant time
during the game. Unless Orebro shares the same
miserable fate today, I  don't think Kalmar stands a
chance. The visitors play  great in away games and i expect from them to do the same in
this game too. My estimate 1-3 goals in this game and is not easy to bet it and I go for scores 1-2 & 0-1.

Norwegian Eliteserien. Hello Norwegians money makers teams. Will you be nice to me today as you ve been yesterday? I can certainly hope so.  Lillestrom vs Mjondalen sounds the match of  day for me and I predict a Big Fat Draw for in-play cash out.
​The visitors are ''Masters of Draws'' and they haven't lost points when faced much stronger teams than Lillestrom in the past. My analysis says 0-0 or 1-1 but I will go with my gut's feeling and scores 3-3 & 2-2 for in-play cash out. 

Betfair Exchange offers the highest prices for single scores betting and the most reliable cashout option. Hit the banner on the right or follow this link to open an account today and support 4LiveSports!
Over 18+ years old ONLY!


Best of Luck! 

* The high value football tips (scores and high odds) are posted mainly for single betting, in play cashout / trading. Whenever  a value bet offers reasonable profit  ''in play'' and the cash out option / trading is available, the bet is considered won. 
Please, always bet responsibly!

Comments

4/8/19 Sunday Scandinavian football Analysis

4/8/2019

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Picture of Ada HegerbergAda Hegerberg - HOT
Previously in Scandinavian Football Value Betting
​Tips
 there was a significant 'Lack of Luck' and
inconvenient momentum of scored goals.
Falkenbergs drew as predicted but after the 55' minute in the game, they decided to wear a blindfold along Helsingborg and as a result the 1-1 score remained, Ostersunds decided to joke with their fans and I am glad I didn't even bet a penny on on them.
Odd struggled once again but managed to pull it through with score 2-1, Sarpsborg managed to stop Rosenborg as we predicted but hold one... drew with a final score 1-1 since the 12' minute in the game? Statistically it's
unspeakable.


Honka's team must be spell protected somehow. We were so close to win the high value bet with a prediction 2-2 & 3-3 scores and the final result was 2-3. Honka's goalkeeper had 100% success by conceding 2 goals in 2 shots on target. VPS had 20 shots OFF TARGET and I was jumping up and down in the house asking for one more shot to be on target because I was sure the 3-3 score would be inevitable! But.. that never came. Honka the spell protected team....

Today, there are many games ''in our plate'' and are tough. Unless you are a 'hardcore' single bets trader who has the time and the budget to invest in all bets, an alternative suggestion would be for you to 
bet the value bets as singles and (if you want to) to group the predictions in trebles/patents accumulators. (* exclusion of liability)

Swedish Allsvesnkan. The two games today, look '' far too easy'' for  Hammarby and Hacken to be... true..
2-3 goals is my main prediction in this games and the 'Draw factor' is high in my view. I wouldn't invest much money on those game but if you want to have fun and attempt to glorify yourselves in beating the bookmakers, then 1-1 & 0-2 scores for the game of Hacken v Sirius and 1-2 & 1-1 for the game Kalmar v Hammarby.


Finnish Veikkausliiga. Ilves Tampere should win with scores 2-0 or 2-1 (2-3 goals) if there's some logic left in this football world,  KuPS - HIFK , I don't trust the hosts' current form and the scores  1-1 & 1-2 (2-3 goals) stand a good chance,  Inter Turku - Marienhamn game is on! Interesting head to head history and I suggest 2-1 & 1-2  scores (Over 2.5 goals).
Value Bet of the Day
- Lahti v Kpv. Both teams score frequently lately are in good form. I can't see why they would stop the rain of goals now. Over 3.5 goals is my main tip and scores 3-2 & 2-2.

Norwegian Eliteserien. Generally speaking, I think we will watch fascinating games and many goals. Ranheim - Brann, the visitors are much better team than their opponents although I expect a narrow win with scores 1-2 or 2-3, over 2.5 goals looks good. Tromso - Mjondalen, both teams have ups and downs lately and I could not see a better result than a draw  today with scores 1-1 or 2-2. Viking - Molde, The ''future champions'' are in a good form but am not sure if they will have an easy evening. Over 2.5 goals is my tip and scores 1-2 & 2-2.

Gold Bet of the Day - Stabaek - Haugesund. The hosts have have been significantly improved lately and their current form makes them a very competitive opponent for their rivals today. The visitors have the advantage who 'spit fire of goals' lately and I encourage them to continue like this. Over 4.5 goals is my main tip for inplay trading and split bets in scores 2-3 & 2-2 & 4-4.

Betfair Exchange offers the highest prices for single scores betting and the most reliable cashout option. Hit the banner on the right or follow this link to open an account today and support 4LiveSports!
Over 18+ years old ONLY!


Best of Luck! 

* The high value football tips (scores and high odds) are posted mainly for single betting, in play cashout / trading. Whenever  a value bet offers reasonable profit  ''in play'' and the cash out option / trading is available, the bet is considered won. 
Please, always bet responsibly!

Comments

03/08/19 Scandinavian Football Value Betting Tips

3/8/2019

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Swedish FootballDon't let me stop you....
Previously in Swedish Allsvenskan football league.... Kalmar managed to keep the score 1-1 up to 93' minute of the game and gave us enough time to trade the bet and escape with profit. Thank you for your messages guys!
Falkenbergs vs Helsingborg. The hosts have been
significantly improved recently, specially when they play
at home but let's remind ourselves that they won't
become a 'great team' from one moment to another.
The visitors perform better in away games and this is what I expect from them today as well. Draw is my main tip and scores 2-2 & 3-3.


Ostersunds vs AFC Eskilstuna. In an ideal world that would be an 'easy' home win but... Should we move to the next game please?

Norwegian Eliteserien
.

Odd vs Lillestrom. Would it be 'odd' to see the hosts dropping points today? Not really. Over 2.5 goals is my main tips and split bets in scores 3-2, 2-2, 3-3.

Sarpsborg 08 vs Rosenborg
. If there's some justice in this football world, then Sarp. will be too good to be relegated. Last week they gave such a big scare to Molde and I think today, they can take advantage of the 'tired' Rosenborg. The visitors had a heavy schedule lately but still are a good team despite their current position on the leader-board.  Over 2.5 goals is my main prediction and scores 2-2, 1-2.

Finnish Veikkausliiga
.

VPS vs Honka. 'Troubles in Paradise' for the visitors who returned to the Finnish Elite league with optimism and high expectations after so many years but here is the thing, you can't become a big team if you can't beat big teams.
My ''little birds'' twitting me that the 'climate' in their dressing rooms is not inspiring at all and today they travel the Vasa's home with 'attitude issues'. The hosts played beautifully against HJK last week and I don't see any reason at all why not to repeat their latest
success. Over 2.5 goals is my main tip and I hope that Honka will hold the draw 2-2 & 3-3 today. 


Betfair Exchange offers the highest prices for single scores betting and the most reliable cashout option. Follow the link to open an account today and support 4LiveSports!
Over 18+ years old ONLY!


Best of Luck! 

* The high value football tips (scores and high odds) are posted mainly for single betting, in play cashout / trading. Whenever  a value bet offers reasonable profit  ''in play'' and the cash out option / trading is available, the bet is considered won. 
Please, always bet responsibly! 

Comments

Scandinavian Football Value Betting Tips

21/7/2019

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PictureBy FAR my favourite posts' photo.
Hello guys, I hope you are all well anywhere you are in the world. I will keep it ''short and sharp'' today
because the games start soon. 
Statistically, we have recorded a high percentage of
''surprising results'' during fixtures which follow after the Europa and Champions Leagues preliminary
round matches.
For this very reason and because in the past we
manages to 'dig some serious gold' during
these fixtures' I post the below tips based on
'reasonable surprises'. 


What is required from you guys is a generous portion of bravery and never bet more than you afford to lose. If you would like an honourable attempt in adding a high value winning bet to your fame of glory, then this is the day!

Swedish Allsvenskan

IFK Goteborg v AFC.   The visitors are improved recently and could give to the hosts a hard time. Under 2.5 goals is my tip with splits bets on 1-0, 1-1 & 0-0 scores.

Malmo FF - Sirius. The visitors finally found their ''seriousness'' back and the chances to score again are not bad at all. 2-3 goals is my main tip and scores 2-1 & 2-0.

Norrkoping - Ostersunds
. Is it payback time for the Norr? We will find this out today. 
2-3 goals is my main tip and scores 2-1 & 1-1.

FIN Veikkausliiga.

HIFK - Rovaniemi. I totally agree with the bookies, this is a high percentage value draw game. Main bet is draw but against the odds I will back the scores 2-2 & 3-3 though. 

Inter Turku - Honka
. I look forward to watching this game and I give a brave but 'tiny' edge to visitors. My main tip is Over 3.5 goals and I place my faith in split bets in scores 2-3 & 2-2 & 3-3.

KuPS - Mariehamn
. Could this be the day, the visitors will strike again on the hosts will hold their nerves?  Over 2.5 goals is my main tip and split bets in scores 2-1, 1-2 and 2-2.

NOR Eliteserien.
Stabaek and Sarpsobrg paid me out generously last week (3-3 score) and I was lucky to to also bet it on my ''experiments account'' because I will be able to use the information at my next post when I will analyse the benefits of Betfair Exchange multiple scores trading.

Brann - Stabaek. Can Stabaek take the advantage today? Time will tell.... Both teams to score is my main tip and scores 2-1 & 2-2.

Molde - Sarpsborg
. Molde's nightmare returns today but due to visitors' pure form this season, the bookies treat this game as an 'easy win' for Molde. We will see.....  Over 2.5 goals is my main tip and scores 2-1 & 2-2.

Betfair Exchange offers the highest prices  for single scores betting and the most reliable cashout option.

Best of Luck! 

* The high value football tips (scores and high odds) are posted mainly for single betting, in play cashout / trading. Whenever  a value bet offers reasonable profit  ''in play'' and the cash out option / trading is available, the bet is considered won. 
Please, always bet responsibly! 

Comments

Copa América - Brazil 2019 Games Previews

24/6/2019

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Copa America 2019
Previously in Copa America.... Hello folks! I will keep it 'short and sharp' today. I am on early wake up call tomorrow and hopefully the bot will cash out some profit for the upcoming games. 
I did not even watched the games last night. I heard Argentina managed to win and Colombia had a narrow win. Today my tips are not for the faint hearted but it is what it is...
More exciting games are coming up today and I have posted below some useful information about the tournament, as also my upcoming betting tips. 
Don't forget! Whether you like live betting, value betting, multiples, anytime scores, Betfair has the best prices and most reliable cashout option.
Open your account today ! 

This tournament will be the 46th edition of the Copa América, the quadrennial international men's association football championship organized by South America's football ruling body CONMEBOL. It will be held in Brazil. Chile are the two-time defending champions, having won the 2015 and 2016 editions of the tournament. (source Wiki)

Originally, the 2019 Copa América was to be hosted by Chile, while Brazil was due to host the 2015 Copa América due to CONMEBOL's rotation policy of tournaments being held in alphabetical order.
However, due to the organization of the 2013 FIFA Confederations Cup, 2014 FIFA World Cup, and the 2016 Summer Olympics in that country, Brazil decided against also hosting the 2015 Copa América. Brazil and Chile's football federations agreed to swap the order of being hosts of the 2015 and 2019 championships.[2] This agreement was approved by CONMEBOL in 2012.[3]
The 2019 Copa America will be the final edition played on odd years and with 12 teams. Starting in 2020, the tournament will be held in the same year as similar tournaments such as the UEFA European Championship.

Picture
Copa America 2019 - Brazil Venues & Locations.
                                                          Interesting Facts... 
  1. Apart from all ten CONMEBOL national teams which are eligible to enter, CONMEBOL initially planned to hold a 16-team tournament by inviting six teams from outside CONMEBOL. On 16 March 2018, CONMEBOL announced three teams from CONCACAF and three teams from Asian Football Confederation (AFC) would be invited to participate in the 2019 Copa América.
  2. On 12 April 2018, it was announced that Qatar, the host of the 2022 FIFA World Cup, accepted the invitation to participate in the tournament. 
  3. On 4 May 2018, CONMEBOL announced that the tournament would instead be played with 12 teams, the same number as previous editions since 1993 (apart from the Copa América Centenario held in 2016), with the two guest teams being Qatar and Japan from the AFC. Both teams managed to reach the final of the 2019 AFC Asian Cup held in the UAE, which was won by Qatar.
  4. This will also be the first Copa América to not feature any team from CONCACAF since teams have been invited; in particular, Mexico, which have competed in all ten editions since 1993 as an invited team, will not participate in this tournament. United States have competed in four tournaments, including the 2016 event as host.
Picture
Copa America 2019 Teams.
Equador vs Japan. Once again, against the odds I favour again the Japanese in this game with scores 2-3 and 3-3. Over 3.5 goals offer great value for inplay trading / cash out.

Chile vs Uruguay. Derby is ON! There is no pact between Men and Lions and I don't expect an easy win. Draw gathers high chances in this game and I hope both teams will please the crowd. Split bets in scores 2-3, 2-2 & 3-3 scores for inplay cash out trading. 
​

Bolivia v Venezuela. The La Verdes sit comfortably at the bottom of the group's leader-board and the chances for going through to the next round, are scattered on the Copa America's air. 
La Vinotintos on the other hand need to win this game and more likely they will go through to the next round along Brazil. If they can't score in this game, I think is better for next year to arrange a few friendly games with Tonga, Samoa and Cook Islands to
short out the problem. I expect an open game and the Over 3.5 goals market offers great value. Scores 2-3 & 2-2 for in play Cash out. (Partially lost)

Peru v Brazil
. Please, please, please.... Don't start cheering ''Brazil, Brazil, Brazil'' again.
​It looks like a win for the Seleção but I really can't put my finger on it.... 2-3 goals is my main prediction in this game. (Bets lost)


Colombia - Qatar. Both teams return in action with the Colombians to be the bookies'
favourite. I still believe that Qatar has all it takes to surprise us again. My estimate is to rain of goals and the Over 3.5 goals looks good to me. Feeling adventurous? Split bets on scores 3-2, 2-2 & 3-3 for inplay trading / cashout. They worth all the Gold in the world. (Although Draw remained up to 85', the bets lost)

Argentina - Paraguay
. I have doubted the Argentinians in previous game but now I back them! This an entirely different game and I don't see the Paraguayans to keeping up! Argentina to win with Over 2.5 goals. 2-1 & 3-2 scores stand a chance with some luck. (Bets lost)

Uruguay - Japan
. Unlucky for the Japanese because the ''raffle'' place them in a tough group. They conceded 4 goals against Chile and... how bad is going to be this time?
Over 2.5 goals is my main tip and I am after the ''surprise that Japanese could score a goal or... two. Scores 3-1 & 2-2. (Golden WIN! The 2-2 score matched up to @55.00 on Betfair Exchange).


Ecuador - Chile.  La tricolors'  defence has only one colour, the one of ''Jokes''. If there's some justice in this football world, Chile should win it with Over 2.5 goals. (Bet Won)

Brazil - Bolivia. The hosts hold the opening and face a 'tough cookie' in my view.
The visitors play tight in away games and they are not used to be 'humiliated'. What I am trying to say is, my main prediction is Under 2.5 goals @2.35 average price across popular
bookmakers.
Now what puzzles me is the bookies 'tricks'. They favour Over 2.5 goals @1.55 average price but they offer score 2-0 @4.70 and 3-0 @5.50 average prices. This does not makes sense. If the Under 2.5 goals payout so high, the score 2-0 should payout at least @10.00 Felling adventurous? Score 1-1 @22.00 could be a 'surprisingly' addition to 2-0 score's
​prediction
for in play trading. (Partially Won - Cashed Out!)

Venezuela - Peru
. The draw climbs high in this game although I favour slightly Peru's 
experience. Both teams to score is my main prediction and scores 1-1 & 1-2 for in-
play trading. ( 0-0 draw but bets lost)

Argentina - Colombia
. The bookies do not clearly favour the Argentinians and I could not agree more. I expect a tight game and it could go either way.  Under 2.5 goals is my main tips and scores 1-0 & 0-1 for in-play trading.  (Partialy Won - Cashed Out!)

Paraguay - Qatar. If I expect at least one surprise (among others) in this tournament, it's the team of Qatar. The Paraguayans don't convince me with their recent performance in contrast with their opponents who play ''convincing'' football in my view. 2-3 goals is my main prediction and scores 0-2 & 1-1 for in-play trading. (Draw but bets losts)

Uruguay - Ecuador
. Not much to say about this game, I expect 'one way or another' to see the 'hosts' winning it with score 2-0 or 2-1. The market 2-3 goals offers great value. (Bets Lost)

Japan - Chile
. Could the Japanese 'surprise' us? I don't think so, not in this
one at least. The hosts have improved a lot recently but Chile's side has some quality and
are in better form. 2-3 goals is my main prediction and scores 0-2 & 1-2 for in-play
trading. 
 (Bets Lost)

Betfair Exchange offers the highest prices  for single scores betting and the most reliable cashout option.

Best of Luck! 

* The high value football tips (scores and high odds) are posted mainly for single betting, in play cashout / trading. Whenever  a value bet offers reasonable profit  ''in play'' and the cash out option / trading is available, the bet is considered won. 
Please, always bet responsibly! 
Comments

Spanish football La Liga - 25th Fixture

24/2/2019

Comments

 
Hello folks! We started so well yesterday until the time Alaves' and Atletiko Bilbao's games when I fell asleep because of  the boring football I was watching. 
Eibar really puzzled me with their manager's choices when he kept on the bench some quality players. Strange, strange. strange...

Leganes v Valencia
. La Liga resumes with a derby today! The Asian and European bookmakers favour the draw and Who am I to go against? Well it's just me. Against the odds I expect and open game and the Over 2.5 goals offers great value. Both teams score frequently lately and both teams wants the 3 points of win for different reasons. Scores 2-1 and 1-2 are offered @13.00 and @13.50 on Betfair Exchange for inplay cashout trading.

Atletico Madrid v Villarreal
. @1.57 is currently offered the hosts' win on Betfair Exchange and I say: '' thank you but no thank you''.  If you are thinking of betting ''safe'' then the Under 2.5 goals is offered @1.77 and looks good. However, I will chase the glory and I will go for split bets on Draw and scores 1-1 & 2-2 for inplay cashout out trading. 
Don't expect from me to analyse it, when it comes to down to value bets and going against the odds, the reasons are complicated.

Valladolid v Betis
. This game is a proper Spanish paella. Do you really want to bet on it? If you have to I think the Under 2.5 goals have the edge.

Levante - Real Madrid
. ''No rest for the wicked'' Madrid! They face Barcelona in 3 days time
but they can't afford to leave key players on the bench today. Not after the
disastrous mistake last week against Girona. Over 3.5 goals is my tip in this game and more likely Real will take advantage of Levante's key defenders missing players. 1-3 or 2-2 scores looks good to me for inplay cash out trading.

------

23/0219 - Hello everyone. Huesca did it again last night and I am not sure if I should describe the situation in Spanish La Liga as
laughable or dramatic. The statistics for nerds shows only 33% home wins in the latest 21 games and the bookmakers' favourite teams, mostly loose!

Getafe v Rayo Vallecano. The hosts have a great chance to climb on the 4th place of the leader board as long as they beat the ''weak'' Rayo and Sevilla lose at home from
Barcelona. That would be an ideal scenario for Getafe but will that come true? I am not
sure. My tip is 2-3 goals in this game but in terms of match odds, anything could happen. Won

Sevilla v Barcelona
. Although both teams had a busy schedule recently, I expect an open game today. Over 3.5 goals is my tip and I give an edge to Barcelona with score 1-3 but I wouldn't be surprise if ends 2-2(cashed out). Won 

Alaves v Celta
. The hosts returned to good performances with two wins in a row when Celts can't find their own backsides at the moment. The bookmakers dropped the prices a lot on Celta's win but I don't see it! 2-3 goals is my tip in this game. Lost

Ath Bilbao v Eibar
. Many questionable players for both teams and the line ups are a puzzle today. The hosts are improved but also Eibar is not bad at all. I think is not going to be easy for Bilbao and the draw has great chances. Not sure about the score though. Lost

 
Betfair Exchange offers the highest prices  for single scores betting and the most reliable cashout option.

Best of Luck! 

* The high value football tips (scores and high odds) are posted mainly for single betting, in play cashout / trading. Whenever  a value bet offers reasonable profit  ''in play'' and the cash out option / trading is available, the bet is considered won. 
Please, always bet responsibly!
Comments

Spanish football La Liga - 24th Fixture

17/2/2019

Comments

 
Hello folks. I ll cut it to the chase today as I have to go out and around soon. The nonsense situation continues in La Liga although I had pre warned you in my previous post to stay away from the 'home wins'. Could that change today? I am not sure about it!

Real Madrid - Girona. ''Hola Madrid!!'' they shout on the streets and the fans look forward for another victory today. The hosts are going to rest a few key players and the most firing gun Benzema. Girona in the other hand they have their own problems but when they face 'big teams' they always fight so well. Over 4.5 goals is my tip for inplay trading /cashout. Do you feel adventurous? Small bets on 3-2 and 3-3 scores would not harm. It could be the day that Girona might surprise us.

Valencia - Espanyol
. Is not going to be easy for the hosts and I expect Espanyol to score in this game. Both teams to score is my main tip and scores 2-1 & 2-2 for inplay cashout / trading.

Villarreal - Sevilla. 'Zero Hour' for both teams and the draw does not serve any purpose. Could that be the final result? Perhaps. Against the odds I expect an open game and many goals. Over 2.5 goals is my main tip and small bets on scores 3-2 & 3-3 for inplay cash out/ trading.

Betis - Alaves
. The game which causes me a headache and I agree with the bookmakers for drifting the price of Betis' win. 2-3 goals is my estimate and hopefully Betis will be good enough to win by 2-1 score or to escape defeat with 1-1 score.

Betfair Exchange offers the highest prices  for single scores betting and the most reliable cashout option.

Best of Luck! 

* The high value football tips (scores and high odds) are posted mainly for single betting, in play cashout / trading. Whenever  a value bet offers reasonable profit  ''in play'' and the cash out option / trading is available, the bet is considered won. 
Please, always bet responsibly!
Comments

Spanish La Liga Football - 18th fixture Day 2

6/1/2019

Comments

 
PictureSpanish La Liga
Good morning folks. I simply call it a ''Lucky Dip'' lottery ticket the yesterday's La Liga results and Lady Luck has been utterly nasty to us.
Long story short, none of the ''favourites'' such as: Valladolid, Valencia and Real Betis managed to escape with a point of draw. Nothing is certain in La Liga so far. Don't be fooled! So what's coming up today?
I expect again a high factor of draw in most games and there is good value.

Eibar - Villarreal
. The hosts have entered in a ''Cyclone of Draws'' and only one Harry Potter knows how to lift up this curse.... or  a gift for the Draws hunters! Although Eibar had a generally tough schedule, they failed to win at home considerably easier games. 
The visitors on the other hand, are playing better and better and better! The latest score 2-2 against Real Madrid sends out a message that are far from deserving of being relegated this season. Both teams have nearly full squads today and I expect an open game. Both teams to score is my main tip and the value bet is split bet on Draw and scores 2-2 & 3-3 for cash out in play. 

Sevilla - Atl. Madrid. Gladly I don't have many things to write about this game. If there's some justice in this football world, the final result today would be a big fat draw! Sevilla is good at home and Atletiko struggled to win in away games so many times this season. I am not sure if we are going to see NO goals at all as the bookmakers suggest with their prices. I stay away from the fragile 0-0 score and I will have a punt on Draw and scores 1-1 & 2-2 for cash out in play.

Real Madrid - Real Sociedad. Luckily for Madrid, are only 7 points away from the top spot but if they want to avoid humiliation this season, they need to start winning games. If you really have to bet on this game, my tip Asian handicap Real Madrid -1.0 & -1.5.

Getafe - Barcelona. So.... If Sevilla share a point with Altetiko today, will Barcelona grab the opportunity to extend their distance on the top of the leader board? I am not sure about it. I will publish my tip in the comments box below just before the kick off. I really want to consider a thing or two.

Betfair Exchange offers the highest prices  for single scores betting and the most reliable cashout option.

Best of Luck! 

* The high value football tips (scores and high odds) are posted mainly for single betting, in play cashout / trading. Whenever  a value bet offers reasonable profit  ''in play'' and the cash out option / trading is available, the bet is considered won. 
Please, always bet responsibly!

Comments

English Premier League Matches Preview - 20th Fixture Part 2

30/12/2018

Comments

 
Good morning folks. Lady Luck almost turn her back to me yesterday with final results beyond my predictions. I did not manage to hit a correct score although the accuracy in Over 3.5 goals was 67% and the Over 5.5 goals we predicted in Liverpool's game, matched up to 8.00 (7/1) on Betfair Exchange.

The last 4 games of 2018 kick off today with particular interest. I expect more goals than yesterday and pretty much I predict all 4 games to go over 2.5 goals. Although, the Draw factor is high!


Daily Goals 30th of December 2018 

Low (11) - High (18) Recommended market for betting is 14 goals or more. 

The price on Betfair Exchange is available @ 2.90 and higher at the moment! 


Crystal Palace - Chelsea. I focus more on the hosts today rather than Chelsea and the reason is one. Crystal Palace, likes causing troubles to top teams this season. With almost full squad, I expect from them to give a hard time to the visitors as well. Split bet on 2-3, 2-2 and 3-3 scores.

Burnley - West Ham. Is incredible what West Ham is achieving so far with an endless list of injured and unavailable players. The game could go up to Over 3.5 goals with good chances and even beyond. Split bet on 2-2, 2-3 and 3-3 scores.

Southampton - Manchester City. If one punter is utterly gutted with Man City, is certainly me. I backed the score 3-3 @290 against Crystal Palace and they lose 2-3. I backed the score 2-2 @24 against Leicester and they lose 2-1. I expect this game to go up to Over 4.5 goals and split bet on 2-3, 2-2 and 3-3 scores. 

Manchester Utd - Bournemouth. The fans of Man U. 'hail' King Ole. What they are missing out is that the Man U's board, choose the perfect timing to get rid off Jose after the defeat against Liverpool. Looking the schedule ahead, there were 4-5 easy games coming up and that does not require a tough effort for Man U really to beat these teams. It happens for me to analyse the Norwegian Premier League for more than 10 years and I am much aware of the capabilities of Ole. I say only this. Let's wait to test Ole against top teams, you will be disappointed. We can review this topic later on.
In today's game I expect no surprises. Man U could easily win this game and it could go up to Over 4.5 goals. Bournemouth has such a fab squad in my view but they can't push the ball easily at the back of the net.


Betfair Exchange offers the highest prices  for single scores betting and the most reliable cashout option.

Best of Luck! We will chat again in 2019! Happy the New Year!

* The high value football tips (scores and high odds) are posted mainly for single betting, in play cashout / trading. Whenever  a value bet offers reasonable profit  ''in play'' and the cash out option / trading is available, the bet is considered won. 
Please, always bet responsibly!
Comments

Spanish La Liga 17th Fixture - Be Cautious!

18/12/2018

Comments

 
Hello folks. Last fixture for the Spanish football elite division before we say goodbye to
2018 and it's going to be an exciting one. The bookmakers suggest a 'Lion's portion of pie' ehmm sorry.. I meant to type 'easy wins' for the home teams as you can see at the photo below.
Picture
Is it going to be so 'easy' for all the home teams? (The data is courtesy of OddsPortal)
I haven't lost my senses yet to bet on the suggested 'sure win' sixfold as highlighted in yellow colour. My prediction is that at least 1-2 games will finish with draw or away win. So.. lets have a look to the upcoming games.
Girona - Getafe. It looks like the hosts start 'loosing their touch' and I am referring to their ability to win away games. This was the main reason keeping them high on the leader board. They lost two straight away games without scoring and now they return at home with a pretty bad home record for this season. Getafe in the other hand looks in a better form. They lost only one in seven away La Liga games so far. This match has a high factor of draw but the value in Under 2.5 goals is terrible. I think it's going to be a game between 2-3 goals and I rule out the Girona's win.
Real Sociedad - Alaves. I am not sure where the bookmakers find the 'inspiration' and favour the home team at this stage. Too much of Christmas booze perhaps? I think Real S. along Espanyol, will end up struggling to avoid relegation this season. Alaves though, is a serious team and I see why not they will not be in the Europa League tournament next year. The draw has an advantage again here but I would not exclude an away win. 2-3 goals in this game sounds good to me.
Betis - Eibar. Real B. is such a 'delight' again this season and start establishing themselves among the elite teams of La Liga. They have certainly the advantage in this game specially when Eibar, shows such a bad face in away games. My main tip is Over 2.5 goals in this game.
Atl. Madrid - Espanyol. I am so glad to not include Atletico in my Under 2.5 goals tips today. I really had enough of their 'boring football' but hey...... They get what they want and are top performers. On the other hand we have Espanyol...  A couple months ago when the team was 'posing' as a celebrity on the 5th place, I had mentioned that the team will go 'down town even to underground' and as a result, their fans were laughing at me. The laugh now turn to tears and the team has lost 5 La Liga games in a row. More likely the record will be increased to 6 games and if my predictions are correct, within a month they will be just at the relegation zone or a bit above. I find value in 2-3 goals market for this game.
Barcelona - Celta. Unfortunately for the Celts, Barcelona is back to it's top form and this fact alone gives ''little room'' for surprises here. Having said that, if Celta finds their ''good scoring face'', we will watch a ''recital of goals'' from both teams. Any market Under 4.5 goals, it does NOT worth it here. 
Ath Bilbao - Valladolid. What can I say about this potential home win? ''Thanks but no thanks''. The hosts have serious issues this season and their 'star players' are unable to get back in good form and specially to start scoring. Why on earth should I back them? The visitors are in a very good shape and gave 'hell' to Atletiko Madrid last week. They perform well in away games and they managed some awesome results so far. The Draw factor is high in this game but I find great value in the Both Teams to Score market.
Valencia - Huesca. Is it over for Huesca? No, it's not. This game is tricky for many reasons and prediction is not indicating an easy win for Valencia. 2-3 goals is my tip for this game.
Leganes - Sevilla. This game gives me a headache. The hosts' current form is inspiring and specially when they have 'dealt efficiently' at home against top teams like Barcelona (won 2-1) and Atl. Madrid (1-1). Sevilla is such a quality team but lately they can't win a single away game. Both teams to score is my main tip in this game so far.
Rayo Vallecano - Levante. This could be the most exciting game of the 17th fixture. Rayo plays open football at home and Levante ''shares the same sentiment'' when they play away. I expect a very open game and I give edge to Over 3.5 goals for inplay trading.

Its too soon to predict scores but surely I will post what I think before the kick offs. Keep an eye to the comments box below and on our social media pages facebook / twitter.


Betfair Exchange offers the highest prices  for single scores betting and the most reliable cashout option.

Best of Luck!

* The value football tips are posted mainly for single betting, in play cashout / trading. Whenever  a value bet offers reasonable profit  ''in play'' and the cash out option / trading is available, the bet is considered won. 

Comments

01/12/18 Spanish La Liga Value Betting Tips

1/12/2018

Comments

 
Hello all! Spanish La Liga kicked off yesterday with another ''unexpected'' surprise (not for me though) with Rayo Vallecano victory over Eibar with a net score 1-0. 
This is another result which proves our point that we need to exercise caution when backing the ''favourites'' teams because their performance vary when they play at home or away.

Celta Vigo - Huesca. In Play, 16th minute in play and so far Celta are ''escaping with their lives. 1.60 pre game price was a gamble. Huesca plays really good and 2-1 or 2-2 scores stand a chance for inplay cashout.

Valladolid - Leganes
 . The game  could end up from 0 to 2 goals and the bookies dropped the prices of Under 2.5 goals very low. I think there's no draw in this game and the team will score first, could win the game. 1-0 & 0-1 for inplay / cashout trading.

Getafe - Espanyol. Tough game in my view with now clear favourite. Under 2.5 goals is my main tip and scores 0-2 & 1-1.

Real Madrid - Valencia. What's going on in Real Madrid? Many people don't want to admit it but Ronaldo's departure makes the difference. Valencia has an awesome record of scoring frequently against Real and the Both teams to score looks good to me. Scores 2-1 & 1-1 for inplay trading because given the Real's current form in La Liga, I would not be surprised if they draw today.

In Turkish Super League I like Instabull's win at home with score 2-0 and generally I like the value of Under 2.5 goals in this game at price nearly 1.93 on Betfair's Exchange at the moment. Trabzonspor, is a far better team than their opponents today and I hope they will prove it. I expect a storm of goals in this game and the Over 2.5 goals sounds nice to me. 1-3 score for inplay cashout.

Betfair Exchange offers the highest prices  for single scores betting and the most reliable cashout option.

Best of Luck!
Comments

18/08/18 USA MLS Soccer action night

18/8/2018

Comments

 
Hello folks! The Major League Soccer resumes tonight and the bookmakers suggest ''easy home wins'' as you can see at the image below. I couldn't disagree more. There are teams which are not currently in a good form, or the visitors are in better shape. Therefore I can't see how all these home wins will land.
Picture
Screenshot taken from OddsPortal.com
 Seattle Sounders - Los Angeles Galaxy. The hosts are over the bad start of the season
and if they win this game, then certainly can knock the Play Offs' door. LA  once again
disappointed their fans with the latest draw against Colorado as we had correctly
predicted.  Seattle is in much better shape than LA but am not sure if that's going to be such an ''easy win'' as the bookmakers predict. The visitors perform much better in away games and this is fact. The Over 3.5 goals market offers great value and I like the scores 3-1 & 2-2 for inplay trading on Betfair Exchange. The simply offer the best prices!


Philadelphia Union - New York City. Game is on! Tough wins for both teams last week but this game is tougher for..... the hosts. NYC is far a better side and in an ideal soccer world they could escape with 1 or 3 points tonight. Over 3.5 goals is my main tip and scores 2-3 & 2-3 wouldn't harm for in play cashout.

Vancouver Whitecaps - New York Red Bulls. I got mixed feelings for this game. The visitors though are far better team and defend better when they' re playing away. If you really want to bet on this game then my suggestion is 2-3 goals full time and 0-2 anytime score.

Montreal Impact - Chicago Fire
. I did not expect to see Chicago doing so bad this season. This is a crucial game for them but also.... an opportunity to snitch 3 points in this game because Montreal's recent performances have not convinced me. Not much value in Over 2.5 goals (if you don't mind) and I go for scores 2-1 & 1-2 for inplay trading on Betfair Exchange.

FC Dallas - Minnesota. Lets put it this way. If San Jose did it against Dallas then why Minnesota not? They played beautifully against LA and unfairly (in my view) did not win the game. Dallas in the other hand comes from 2 straight wins and the team clearly is not in a good shape. I expect a very open game from both teams and I like the value of Over 3.5 and 4.5 goals. SI wouldn't say no to scores 3-2 & 2-3 for inplay trading/cashout.

Sporting Kansas City - Portland Timbers. Another game which puzzles me a lot. The draw factor is high on this game although the odds favour the hosts. Although, the question is, would we see many goals? I am not sure and my estimate is 2-3 goals. Perhaps I got this wrong but the scores 2-0 and 1-1 offer great value if you really have to bet on it.

Houston Dynamo - Real Salt Lake. The list of unavailable players for tonight's game is quite long, specially for the RSL's team. Anything could happen in this game and I don't think Houston has a clear advantage. Against all odds, Under 2.5 goals is my tip if you want to bet on it.

San Jose Earthquakes - Toronto FC. If Toronto could win the next away game, I wouldn't imagine a more 'convenient' opponent. San Jose's performance has son many ups and downs since the beginning of the season and very fairly they are keeping the top spot of ''upside down'' leader board. Toronto has done beautifully lately, although unlucky against NYC last week. Both teams score and concede many goals recently and I like the value of Over 3.5 goals. Easily or not, I think Toronto will win the game with score 1-3 or 2-3.

Best of Luck!
Comments

Spanish La Liga Express Previews and Tips

8/4/2018

Comments

 
PictureSpanish La Liga Football Tips
Hello folks. Wherever you are in the world I hope you had a great Easter and awesome holidays.
It is a kind of tradition for us on 4LiveSports to publish live our value bets during bank holidays and.... best of luck!
Levante - Las Palmas
. The game kicks off soon and is not lost for the visitors. Levante miss a handful of important players today and we go for draw 1-1 and 2-2 scores. Las Palmas could snatch a point.
Real Madrid v Atletico Madrid. Under different circumstances I would back gladly the draw but Atletico's latest performance in away games against Top teams is poor. I predict 2-3 goals in this game and Real to win with score 2-0 or 2-1.
Real Sociedad - Girona
. I look forward to watching this game. Draw game in my view and I am after the scores 2-2 & 3-3 inplay for cashout. 
Valencia - Espanyol. Whatever happens in the ''derby'' of Madrid, Valencia is a winner as long as they beat Espanyol at home. I like the Over 2.5 goals in this game with home win scores 2-1 or 3-0.

Happy Punting!


Comments

01/03/17 Spanish Primera La Liga Value Bets

1/3/2017

Comments

 
Hello folks. We have done it brilliantly yesterday as well and I would like to thank you for your kind messages and words. Straight to the point then!

Osasuna v Villarreal  I think game is over for the hosts and I am not sure why the bookies value Osasuna so much in today's game. They are still missing a bunch of handful defensive players and keep looking for their first win at home. 
The visitors want this win more than anything to keep in track with the position on the leader-board which leads next year to Europa League Cup. Away win is my tip and a bit risky but worth it 0-1 and 1-2 scores for In play trading.


Celta v Espanyol   Not much to say for this game, although the Draw factor is high, I think we ll have a winner in the end. I trust Celta more than Espanyol. Home win and perhaps with scores 1-0 & 2-1 for In play trading.

Granada v Alaves  Is not over for Granada unless is over. It's the game of the day in my opinion and I expect to see an open game from both teams. Over 3.5 goals is my prediction and...... let the best team win!

In other games of Real Madrid and Barcelona I see more risk than value and perhaps I will tweet something before the kick off.


What say you? Feel free to comment below.

You can bet your accumulators with the ''insurance'' of Betfair's Edge and singles with the
powered prices of Betting Exchange! 
  


Best of Luck!

Mr Sherlock Goal
Comments

Monday Football Tips

4/4/2016

Comments

 
Hello all. Although  Monday's football tips have always been a 'challenge' for the tipsters due to the 'limited' number of games, sometimes it could be better just to focus on a small number of games and try to make the best out of them.
In Danish SAS Ligaen, things are straight forward regarding the winner and the relegation zone however, the interest is between the teams which claim the 2nd and 3rd places which lead to the Europa Cup. In today's game between Esbjerg v Viborg, is more a game of 'prestige'. The hosts have nothing to be afraid anymore in terms of relegation, they play better and 'stress free' football lately. The visitors are clearly an unpredictable team in 'away games' which achieved some great results so far. Overall, the draw in this game gather high chances but I think in the end Viborg would win this game with scores 1-2 0r 2-3.
In Turkish Super League, the champion and the relegation zone have not decided yet and this league is full of surprises. Today, Besiktas will be 'tested' away from home against Kasimpasa. I think many of you might still remember the 'incredible' 3-3 score of the first round but since then, the visitors have been improved and they operate much better defensively. The hosts in the other hand are not in a good form lately however, they play well against top teams at home. In an ideal world Besiktas should win 'easily' this game but against the odds I would suggest scores 0-2 and 1-1.
Rizespor v Kayserispor. A very deciding game between two teams which fight to avoid relegation. I would be really surprised if we see many goals in this derby and since draw is not an option for both, I go for the scores 1-0 and 0-1.
Spanish Primera Division. The 'surprises' continued this week with 8 out of 9 games finishing with Both Teams to Score. Levante is having a hard time this year and is not a joke anymore, they could be relegated. Sporting De Gijon in the other hand fights for the same cause and is a better team than the hosts in my opinion. Although the visitors would be ok with the point of draw, I would be surprised if we see another draw in this fixture. I expect a tight game and I would go for scores 0-1 and 1-0 so...... Le the best team win!

Betfair exchange offers the highest prices in the market today to back the above scores and a generous bonus for opening a new account. For the guys in Greece Sporting Bet offers great odds as well.
Comments

Cash Out - Do you or Don't you?

17/11/2014

Comments

 
Picture
Yes, that's right. 'Make money' is the message  when the cash 
out option indicates there is 'profit' for us. This is exactly the 
moment when you start biting your nails, having a another drink 
and you feel the pressure taking all over specially if you are 
betting some serious money. 

KEEP CALM  and use the Cash Out function Wisely!


First things first, lets talk about what happens when you press the cash out button too soon (under 
normal gaming circumstances) from the time your bet is 'winning in play'? You simply loose a 
significant amount of value/profit and the bookies or the Layers in Exchange (if you are backing) are 
having a big laugh, and saying: '' Thanks so much for reducing the payout liability for us.''
In the other hand, greediness is another enemy of the Cash out function. I came across with punters 
who got a correct score in play since the first half and they decide to press that button on the 85' 
minute when....... Oh no! The market suspended! Another goal made and the bet lost. Hello??? 

The Cash out  option gives you the opportunity to win some money in play, but when you are waiting 
for nearly the end of the game to cash out, what is the point?  In my opinion you are risking too much 
to lose the profit you already have. 

Let's sum up, I brought up two examples how the cash out can affect your profit negatively and these 
are the main traps you have to avoid if you want to have successful cash outs. Because, Cash out is 
not about to just cash some or any money out, but to cash out in play the most of the price/odds you 
reasonably can, considering the level of risk. If you don't take these factors into account, then you just 
waste the value of the price/Odds you backed or you lose your bet.
You need a strategy, a pre play plan, to be ready ''to do what & when in play'' and of course you need 
luck, because it is gambling after all. You have to stick with a strategy which enables you to balance 
between Value and Risk of losing your bet. You have to stick with your plan and have NO regrets in 
the end if in case you have lost some profit. It does not matter if the score or the accumulator you 
backed remained winning until the end of the game. Just think how many times it happened to lose 
your bets during the last 5-10 minutes of the game...... and you were saying: '' Damn! Why I did not 
cash out earlier''?
 
Of course, there are some other contributing factors which can affect our decision as for example the 
red cards and the live match statistics. Be careful with the last one. Live statistics in my opinion are 
good to be used as a guide but not to rely 100% on them. 
I am referring to circumstances like for example when you have backed the score 0-0 e.g. in a game 
with odds 20.00 and it is 65' minutes in the game and the favourite team has hit 2 times the 
ball on the post, they are dominating and have an excessive amount of shots in target compared to 
their opponents. So.... what are you waiting for? Is it realistic to back a 0-0 score and have the 
expectation to win 80% - 100% of the profit of the price/odds? Think about it, statistically nearly up to 
5% of the games may finish with score 0-0.  
So.... What is a reasonable cash out for you? What is your 'reasonable' expectation to cash out such 
a profit in play, which means to cash out the highest possible percentage of profit of the odds/price 
you backed in line with the reasonable risk you are prepared to take?  
Trust me, It is not difficult to work it out. 

Cashing out Too soon or Too late in play, are the main situations when players throw significant profit or lost bets into the '' bookies bin''.
If you manage to work out pre game, the ideal and reasonable percentage of profit of the price/odds you backed to cash out, depending on the timing the bet (specifically scores) comes through in play, and taking into account the gaming conditions, then you will be successful most of the times and you will not be anxious in play. 
If you just ''go with the flow'' then you are just gambling and more likely you will be lead to 
unpredictable and negative results.

Personally, I do not touch the cash out button if my score has not yet come through in play. 
Lady Luck plays some tricky games and.... in football you never know. Whenever I am prepared to 
invest some money on a bet, under normal gaming conditions, I will stick to my plan until the very end. If my score comes through at some point in play then I follow the plan I have set pre play. Of course the next obvious question is: ''Mr Sherlock what is your plan'' ? 

Everyone thinks differently in terms of what plan to follow but is ok as long as you have a plan and you are not 'short sighted'. If you want to make money, you have to be open minded and review your betting strategies if they do not work when is down to Cash Out. 
In the end, the successful punter is the one who avoids big risks when it comes down to cash out and ensures stable and long term profit. 
As I said earlier, it is not difficult to work this plan out and I hope the above indications are good 
enough to 'enlighten you'.

What is your opinion about Cash out? Feel free to reply with your comments below.
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    Mr Sherlock Goal

    Football games analysis and value tips mainly for exchange betting, cash out and trading. La Liga, English Premier League, US MLS and Scandinavian Leagues. 

    Mr Sherlock Goal
    Mr Sherlock Goal - ’’I don't like gambling but I do like to investing in betting''.




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