Mr Sherlock Goal

Express Football Betting Tips

26/11/2016

Good morning folks. Not much time to write for a proper games analysis and previews as I am exploring the North of England in Yorkshire. I got to say, is particularly beautiful.
The Welsh 'let me down' yesterday with a few surprising but unexpected for me results.

Burnley v Man City The hosts are looking forward to upset their visitors today. Frankly,
they have managed it many times, not long ago. Over 3.5 goals is my suggestion.

Espanyol v Leganes Kind of 'Derby' here and not sure if Espanyol will win this game.
There is a trend in Primera Division lately, to see low scoring teams, finishing with Over
2.5 goals score. So.... yes, I am after the value of Over 2.5 goals.

Sevilla v Valencia I still believe this is a ''classic' regardless Valencia's current position on
the leader board. I expect goals from both teams and I like the Over 2.5 goals.

Bangor v Camarthen I am not going to say a lot for this game. If there is some justice in this football world, it should rain goals today. Over 3.5 goals.

The Betting Upsets...... Will post them live on Twitter and Facebook today. Stay tuned!
Any thoughts? What are you backing today? Feel free to leave your comments below.

You can bet your accumulators with the ''insurance'' of Betfair's Edge!

Best of Luck!

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Welsh Premier League - Focusing on Goals!

25/11/2016

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Hello folks. WPL is one of the leagues I am looking closely as I am a big fan of open and
attacking football with many goals involved.
There are only 6 only fixtures left before the end of the regular season and the beginning of
the play offs however, the only thing we ''know'', is who the champion ''again'' will be.
In 94 games played so far, 42 ended with Home wins, 29 with Away wins and 23 games
with draw. The average goals per game is 2.96 and is typical in this League.
Having said that, WPL has changed a lot during recent years as most of the teams have
strengthened their squads and start.... defending!
There is a significant drop of goals since the season 2012-2013 when the average of goals
was 3.41 in the end of the regular season, 3.18 in 2013-2014, it went slightly up in 2014 -
2015 with 3.36 and the biggest decline so far last with ''just'' 2.88 goals per game.

Aberystwyth v Bala Town The weather conditions are fabulous for football across Wales
today and nothing reminds of the horrific weather six days ago. Aberystwyth and other
areas were hit by much like a tornado as many claim. It is our wish for these people there
to never experience such an event again.
The Seasiders look forward to this 're match' and perhaps a payback for the 4-0 defeat a
few weeks ago. Nevertheless, a positive result against Bala Town will be only good news
and see them moving further from the bottom places of the leader-board.
The Lakesiders in the other hand, are cruising on the top spots of the league and their goal
is to join the Europa League competition next year. Their current form in WPL games is
great and they suffered losses only by TNS so far.
The favourite in this game is the visitors however, they have a handful of players uncertain
for the today's game and perhaps that would be an obstacle for their win. Hopefully, we'll
have an open game with goals from both teams and the Over 3.5 goals tip will land.

Cefn Druids v Newtown Match of the day in my opinion! The Ancients (Druids) are a
tough nut to crack and they don't lose easily despite their low position on the leader board.
They have drew 7 times so far and this fact alone says a lot. This is a must win game for
them but the only obstacle is Newtown's current form which is superb!
I totally agree with the bookies by giving the edge to the visitor's team but I think also the
Draw factor is high as well. I will take my chances by backing Over 3.5 goals in this game
because in my view, Druids can 'influence' Newtown to play open and attacking football,
specially if there is an early goal in the game.

Rhyl v Connahs Quay Initially it looks easy when the visitors and 2nd best attacking line in
the league faces the worst defence and unstable in performance Rhyl. What makes it tricky
though in my opinion, is the H2H which shows that Connahs struggles when playing away
against the LillyWhites.
Furthermore, I will ignore their respectable defeat against TNS but their defeat against
Newtown raised some concerns. Not sure what's going on in terms of injuries and I will
back the Over 2.5 goals. Let the best team win!

The New Saints v Airbus UK Under different circumstances that would be a derby to
analyse but for well know reasons, the Airbus club has a lot of issues and is such a
disappointment to see a once upon a time leading club, battling at the bottom of the leader
board. I am not bothered (betting-wise) in this game at all because TNS can do as they
wish.
Feeling a bit adventurous and going after the Big Score? All 3 top games could end with a
high score result and an Over 4.5 goals Treble/Patent pays out very generously.
Any thoughts? What are you backing today? Feel free to leave your comments below.

You can bet your accumulators with the ''insurance'' of Betfair's Edge!
The only Sportsbook powered by the prices of Betfair's Exchange!*
(check Betfair Price Rush)

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Football on Mondays - Over 2.5 goals

21/11/2016

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Good morning folks. Football does not stop on Mondays and some great games are
coming up today. In English Premier League, the ''surprises'' continued the weekend just
gone, mainly after seen Swansea, Southampton and Bournemouth ''snatching'' points.
Did you say.... Leicester? Well, it was certainly not a ''surprise'' to me to seeing them losing
in Watford.
After all, my mates know that I have placed a ''fun'' bet that the English Champions will
eventually battle in the relegation zone.
West Brom v Burnley Both teams perform good lately and fairly enough they are a bit far
from the relegation zone. The bookies favour clearly the hosts and the Under 2.5 goals
which starts ''drifting'' at the moment (10:04 GMT) on Betfair's Exchange and I could not
agree more. Both teams play open football this season and they go all out attack when they
face ''equal in strength'' opponents.
The hosts play ''lukewarm'' at home when the visitors are still looking for their first away
win. The Head to Head statistics show a clear domination of the Over 2.5 goals market
every-time Burnley faced WBA away. I know that Burnley is 'pushing' Ashley Barnes and
Andre Gray for a start and if this happens, the 3 points will be a tough task for the hosts.

Leganes v Osasuna A very ''even'' game in theory which could possibly end a draw.
However, this result could be a big disappointment for both teams after taking into account
their current position and form. Dear Bookies allow me to disagree when you give such a
big advantage for Legane's win, when their results at home are far from inspiring. In
contrast with Osasuna, a team which performs much better in away games and
occasionally they get what they want.
In my view, the home win should pay at least 2.70 and not nearly 2.00 as it stands now. It is
a game which could go either way but I expect goals from both teams and the Over 2.5
goals.

Silkeborg v Esbjerg Many changes have been made in Danish League this year and I am
not sure if I like them. 14 teams but 7 of them will battle to avoid relegation. What's the
point? Nonsense!
Both teams do not stand a chance in theory to jump to the top 7 places of the leader-board
and is more of a 'prestige' game today I would say. The hosts are not doing bad at the
moment but is worth to make a mention for the visitors who have start scoring and winning
points in recent games. After reading both managers' statements, they want to play open football and satisfy their fans by winning the match. Over 2.5 goals is my suggestion.

Basaksehir v Rizespor The Turkish Super League did not start as 'usual' this season as
the average of goals per game is just 2.48 at the moment and home teams are strong and
leading by nearly 43% in 97 games played.
In today's game, the hosts have a great chance to climb to the top of the leader board if
they manage to win the 'tricky' Rizespor. A team which has not lost in 5 consecutive
games. The bookies favour the Over 2.5 goals and I could not agree more. Having said
that, since the price is a little bit low, value can be added by backing Home win with Over
2.5 goals.
Any thoughts? What are you backing today? Feel free to leave your comments below.

You can bet your accumulators with the ''insurance'' of Betfair's Edge!

Best of Luck!

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The Latins - Fifa World Cup 2018

15/11/2016

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Hello folks. It's been a long time for sure but pressing matters and work,work,work leave me no much time for blogging. (sad)
7 fixtures remain until the end of this Preliminary round and
'anything' can happen. The statistics show that 'Homes' are in
generally 'strongholds' and am not surprised in a way to see
the home win paying so high in the following game.

Bolivia v Paraguay Straight to the point we check a very
interesting but 'tricky' game. Both teams have many ups and
downs recently and more than ever, this is a very deciding
momentum. Under different circumstances I would back the
visitors 'blindly' but looking their latest 'humiliating' defeat at
home, they don't quiet inspire me. I agree with the Bookies,this game could go either way
and I don't think it is a 'trick' to see such a low payout for the Bolivia's home win which is in
theory the underdog. Over 2.5goals is my suggestion and I find value in the draw with
scores 2-2 & 3-3. The highest prices are offered in Betfair Exchange.

Ecuador v Venezuela When a team (Venezuela) wins a game by 5 goals margin, it can't
go unnoticed. Clear favourite for the Bookies is the team of Ecuador, a point I would agree
at 'certain extend'.Their current form is not brilliant and I think the 1.27 offered by the
bookies is so not 'worth it'. Both teams want the win and they will 'go for it'. Over 2.5 goals
is my suggestion but I think it could be difficult win or loss for the home team. Feeling of
placing a 'fun bet'? Scores 2-1 and 1-2 pay out greatly on Betfair's Exchange.

Argentina v Colombia 'Its now or never' for the Argentinians and I can't imagine watching
a World Cup without Messi (even if am not a Barca fan). Not much to say about this game and I suggest Argentina to win with Over 2.5 goals score.

Chile v Uruguay Do we really have to bet on this game? The Draw factor is really high in
this game however, I am not sure if that would be the final result. Edge to the visitors but if
you really but really want to bet on this game, I think the Under 2.5 goals offers good value.

Peru v Brazil The Brazilians are in a great form and it reminds in many cases the old
powerful Brazilian team. The hosts were thundering with goals against Paraguay in last
game and what an away victory that was! Edge to Over 2.5 goals when both teams find easily the way to push the ball to the ''net''. It could be a betting upset and I like the scores 2-1 & 1-2 in this game.

Any thoughts for these games? Feel free to share below.

Best of Luck!

Comments

Express Football Betting Tips

Welsh Premier League - Focusing on Goals!

Football on Mondays - Over 2.5 goals

The Latins - Fifa World Cup 2018

Mr Sherlock Goal

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