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30/05/20 Mr Sherlock Goal analyses the 29th fixture of German Bundesliga 1 !
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German Bundesliga I - 29th Fixture Forecast and Betting Tips

30/5/2020

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Hello folks. No time to DILLYDALLY guys as the games in Bundesliga start soon. Leverkusen did it yesterday with with low score narrow win 0-1 against Freiburg. We need to be cautious because the teams are getting tired when playing almost every 3-4 days from now on. Anytimes scores and Over 3.5 goals Patent and Trebles are my suggestions for today's games.

Wolfsburg - Eintracht Frakfurt. The hosts managed to hammer Leverkusen last week, clearly they could win this game. Over 3.5 goals & anytime score 3-2.

Mainz - Hoffenheim. Despite Hoffenheim's win last week, they did not convince me with their performance. I think they were very lucky against Koln. I like Mainz and I give them an edge with anytime score 3-2 and Over 3.5 goals.

Hertha Berlin - Augsburg. We have mentioned it from the restart of the league that Hertha is among the teams to look up for and I dare to say that they have strong chances to reach the 6th place which leads to Europa League qualification round. Anytime score 3-1 & Over 3.5 goals.


Schalke - Werder Bremen. I got better things to do rather than to analyse this game. Ok... If you insists then put your hand on your hand and back Under goals and score 0-1.


Bayern Munich - Dusseldorf. Match of the day for me! I expect the the visitors to give Bayern a hard-time. I find good value in the Over 5.5 goals & Draw for in play cashout / trading. Feeling adventurous and can afford it? Split bets in score 3-2, 2-2 & 3-3  for in play cashout / trading. It's worth to mention that the prices on Betfair's Exhange dropped for scores 3-2 from 48 to 32, for the score 2-2 from 65 to 46 and the 3-3 from 230 to 120!

Best of Luck and always bet responsibly!
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German Bundesliga I - 28th Fixture Forecast and Betting Tips

27/5/2020

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PictureThe temperature rises in German Bundesliga
Previously in German Bundelsiga...Bayern Munich was the big winner and  as we predicted correctly, that would be the first defeat for Dortmund at home. However, the low goals score 0-1, gave a big smile to the Bookmakers. What happened in Frankfurt? Only Harry Potter knows about the magical 3-3 score. In Bremen we have witnessed an unexpected drought of goals and am not sure if I should laugh or cry about the final score 0-0. In contrary with the match in Leverkusen where it rained goals as we had forecast but... to the wrong direction. Leverkusen was hammered. Really?????? 

RB Leipzig vs Hertha B​erlin. Yes, yes, RB is the favourite, a fact well known but I can't put aside Herta's great recent form. 99% sure thing, Herta will not follow defensive tactics and formation in today's game. I expect an open game from both teams and if Herta scores first, the Over 3.5 goals will be an easy job.  I wouldn't say no to bet the Over 4.5 & 5.5 goals for singles in-play for cash out / trading. 

Augsburg vs Paderborn. This game might hides similar surprises as the the one in Frakfurt yesterday. Both teams haven't won a game since BC times! The EU Exchange slightly favour the home team's win when the Asian Bookmakers, clearly favour them.The hosts will miss out a number of significant players in this game but also the the visitors have their own troubles too. Home win, Draw? Who knows?

Union Berlin vs Mainz. I don't favour the hosts for winning this game but what I do favour is GOALS! 
I am expecting a ''breakout'' of goals from both teams! The Over 3.5 goals offers great value and I wouldn't say no to bet the Over 4.5 & 5.5 goals for singles in-play for cash out / trading. 

Hoffenheim vs FC Koln. The draw factor has climbed high in this game and I can't expect from Koln to keep a cleam sheet. Can Hoffenheim scores though? I say yes! Over 3.5 goals is my main bet and I will go for small punts in scores 3-3 & 4-4 for inplay trading. Don't ask me ''why then not to back Over 5.5 or even 7.5 goals instead''? The answer is simple, it's not clear to me that we could see so many goals but there's an indication. 

Dusseldorf vs Schalke. The way I see it, Dusseldorf is unbeaten for 5 games in a row when the big favourite  Schalke, has not won a single match for 9 games in a row! The hosts have no major problems in today's game and they need 3 or at least a point to bring them closer to the exit of the relegation zone. Will Schalke finally start scoring goals? Will see.... My betting tip is Over 3.5 & Over 4.5 goals for in-play cashout trading. The prices are awesome!

That's all for now folks! What are your thoughts for the upcoming games? Feel free to comment below.

Best of Luck and always bet responsibly!


26/05/20.
Hello folks! The temperature rises indeed in German
Bundesliga
and so the number of goals! Only 40% of the
overall of Bookies ''favourites'' managed to win last week
and that includes the big teams Bayern Munich, RB,
Leverkusen and Dortmund. 
Now, if you take those teams out of that percentage, then
hardly any favourite won (favourite is considered the team
with the lowest price in match odds before the kick off).
The corona virus ''holidays'' effect and the lack of spectators
are neutralising the home teams advantages in many ways
so far, and this is something we have analysed in a previous
post. 
So.. what happened previously in German Bundesliga... On Saturday we were quite accurate in predicting many goals in
the games of Bayern and Leverkusen but it required ''rotten
luck'' to miss out the correct scores predictions by one goal.
In the games of Freiburg and Paderborn we did  well to stay
away from the Over 2.5 goals market. 

Yesterday, we took revenge and hit the Over 4.5 goals in the game of Mainz although the correct score
prediction flew out of the window, the Over 3.5 goals goal and correct 2-2 in the game of Koln! Thank you for your kind words in the messages you sent me and a big BRAVO to you who were brave enough to back the draw and Koln to come back from 2 goals down in play. I was so tempting to
increase my bet more in play but I wasn't sure about it because Koln wasn't looking good but suddenly they start scoring in no time lol.
In Schalke, unfortunately the fears of ''getting in troubles'' rise again because the team can't score but they lose even considerably easy games! Luckily we left the game out of the high scoring goals tips.

Green-Won, Red-Lost, Blue-Push.

Dortmund vs Bayern Munich. Will Borussia be beaten for the first time this season at home? I say
more likely yes!
The Bavarians have a kind of ''less important'' absent players in this game and are
slightly in a better form. In this ''derby'' without spectators I see no real advantage given to Borussia.
I will be extremely surprised if suddenly these teams stop scoring many goals and I like the Over 4.5
goals choice. 2-3 correct score
sounds good to me.

Leverkusen vs Wolfsburg. I am not sure what I am missing out here, but why the win for the hosts pays out so high up to 1.83 in some bookies at the moment? I think it's an awesome choice although I predict that the rain of goals will continue up to Over 3.5 goals and correct score 3-1.

 Frankfurt vs Freiburg. Oh dear me...... This game gives me a headache. Do we really have to talk
about it? I see 2-3 goals maximum during the ''Clash of Titans'' and Freiburg could win if they get 
serious about it. Let's move on to the next match!

Bremen vs  B. Monchengladbach. Breel Embolo injury after 12 minutes in the game against
Leverkusen was a blow for the team and for my correct score 2-3 which I missed out last week. Bremen
should be named the 'Escapists' team. Against Freiburg they deserved nothing but they got away with the 3 points of victory.
Despite the injuries of Zakaria, Strobol, Johnson and the doubtful Embolo in Gladbach's camp, they are in a better form and a better team. Over 3.5 goals is my tip and I think the scores 1-3 & 2-4 stand a good chance for trading.

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German Bundesliga I - 27th Fixture Forecast and Tips

24/5/2020

Comments

 
PictureFootball is a beauty after all!
Good morning everyone. Yep, late night playing Assassin's
Creed Odyssey
. So... what happened previously in
Bundesliga
? Pretty much we were spot on in most of the
predictions although the big bucks slipped through our fingers
in a very mysterious way....
Leverkusen was the boss as we predicted with 4 goals in the game but we missed the score by one goal. Freiburg decided to give a breath of life to Werden Bremen but too right we predicted an Under 2.5 goals match. In Paderborn's game we predicted a with low score ''hidden draw'' and miraculously it finished 1-1. The Bavarians proved us right to ''hammer'' the Eintracht with Over 5.5 goals at least and went all in with scores 5-1 & 6-0 but.... seriously? The visitors ruined our plans by scoring 2 goals against Bayern. Last time that happened it was since BC times! 


Schalke 04 vs Augsburg. The lineups are announced and the hosts are without Harit, Mascarell and Tolibo which is an ''ouch''! The visitors are without  Finnbogason and Gifier. Both teams are formatted with a 4-5-1 on the pitch and it looks like that it won't be a high scoring game. Both opponents are in a bad form but I give a slight edge to Schalke. Despite all the above problems, they could win the game with scores 1-0 or 2-1.
Mainz - RB Leipzig. Game on! Well underestimated the Mainz's team in today's clash. Maybe I am wrong, but I keep my eyes fixed on that team which shows great improvement. Today they will miss their main goalkeeper Zentner and ... that's it. In the other hand we have the big favourite Leipzig. They are not in a good form although they have nearly full squad against Mainz. I expect to see attacking football from both teams and I like the Over 4.5 goals market for inplay cashout trading. 3-2 & 2-3 scores.

FC Koln - Dusseldorf. Here is the thing about Koln. They attack brilliantly and score quite easily but they defend terribly. Dusseldorf in the other hand is a balanced low scoring team and defend well in away games. They have hardly been humiliated in clashes away from their home so far. I think either the visitors' defence might collapse today or/and will find ways to score. Over 3.5 goals is my tip and scores 3-2 & 2-2.

Best of Luck and always bet responsibly! 

23/05/20
Hello folks! The 27th fixture kicked off yesterday with a 2nd
half 4 goals storm of Hertha BSC Berlin which forced Union
Berlin
to waive the white flag of surrender.
Having said that, I am annoyed because the auto post function
did not work for my blog yesterday and only myself and my
good mate Panos knew that it would rain goals in that game.
GRRRRRRRR!
B. Monchengladbach vs Bayer Leverkusen.  Both teams
were successfully tested last week and easily hammered their
opponents. The draw factor is high in this game as also the
goals. Up to Over 4.5 goals is my tip and a small punt in
scores 2-2 and 2-3. Yep, I think the visitors have the edge.
Freiburg vs Werder Bremen. Am not sure why people are
cheering so much about the visitors' win in this game. The
bookmakers give such a small edge to Freiburg's win so
far. Nevertheless, I don't see many goals in this game but
more likely a home win.
​ Paderborn vs Hoffenheim. Both teams have created numerous scoring opportunities last week but they couldn't push the ball in the net. There is a significant number of important absent players from both
teams today and I really can't see a high scoring game. The bookmakers in Asia favour the Over 3 goals market but I will pass. Let the best team win..... If any team wins in this game. 
Bayern Munich vs Eintracht Frankfurt. The Bavarians create an unusual trend of Under 2.5 goals in recent games and keeping a clean sheet without problems. Honestly, it looks like Bayern has returned from the Corona Virus break exactly to the point they left it. Bayern has a great H2H history of
many goals wins at home against Eintracht and this the only reason I think we will see many
goals.
I like the scores 6-0 & 5-1. 

Comments

German Bundesliga Resumes or Starts now?

18/5/2020

Comments

 
Hello folks. The German Bundesliga kicked of a few days ago and these are great news. Having said
that, I understand the attempt to get back to our normal lives as soon as possible and I hope this is the
right thing to do without risking a second burst of the Corona Virus. Fingers crossed that all people in the
world stay safe. After 8 games played in Bundesliga, here is the story so far.
Picture
The image is courtesy of OddPortal.com Many Thanks!
The results pretty much shows  that the league has not resumed but just started. There are many
reasons behind this:

a) Playing without  spectators is a factor which is neutralising any home teams' advantage.

b) After a two months ''break'', there's no current form data. This is a virtual factor.

c) The Corona virus matter, may have an unpredictable  effect in players' psychology and as an extend to their performance.

It fees like a start of the league with usual ''unexpected'' surprises, but until the Corona issue is dealt and
done, I will look all games from now on like a tournament which takes place on a neutral ground. I suggest guys to take it easy and give time to build some current form statistics over the next 3-4 fixtures
before start seriously betting. 

 Werder Bremen vs Bayer Leverkusen. It's a relief for Bayern to visit Bremen today in a stadium
without spectators as the H2H history is not favouring them so far. Having said that, their ''cannon'' Kevin Voland is sidelined from today's game. Can Bayern take advantage of Leipzig's flop and close the gap to just 1 point? 
Werder Bremen in the other hand have their own little troubles. Augistinsson, Toprak, Mohwald,
Klaassen, Fullkrug and the veteran Pizarro will be absent from today's clash. To be fair, only the
highlighted players are considered significant absences and in my view, it ''balances'' with the absence of Kevin Voland. 

I estimate this game to finish between 4-6 goals. I give an edge to Bayern Leverkusen but I would not rule out the surprise with scores 2-3, 3-3 & 3-2.

Best of Luck and always bet responsibly!
Comments

10/05/20 Vysshaya Liga - Belarusian Premier League football Tips

8/5/2020

Comments

 
Hello folks. Finally it started raining goals in Belarusian -  Vysshaya Premier Football league! Since the
6th fixture onward, we have seen a massive improvement in teams' scoring ability with a peak the 7th
fixture. Last week in 8 games, 4 games finished with over 3.5 goals, 6 out of 8 games finished with
over 2.5 goals and 100% of all games finished with over 1.5 goals.

But hold on! Why you need to know that? Well from my point of view it's not only important the to see the
tree (the particular game's characteristics) but also the forest (the league's overall characteristics). It's
not only about which team has the ability to score but also to check the vulnerable defences. 

​Not much time to  Dilly-Dally and here is the story so far:
Picture

Isloch - Belshina.  Long story short, I expect goals in this game and I like the scores 3-2 & 2-2. I don't think it will be an easy win the hosts. The Over 2.5 goals market offers very good value.

Vitebsk - Shakhtyor Soligorsk. Both teams are doing ok so far and the draw factor is high in this game. I give small edge to the visitors and the game could end with 1-2 or 2-2. The Over 2.5 goals is a good choice.

Smolevichi - BATE. The hosts are still looking for their first win at home and I will be surprised if that happens today. 0-3 & 1-2 scores is a sensible choice, I don't think the hosts can keep the score low against BATE. Over 2.5 goals is bet of the day in this game. 

Dynamo Brest - Din. Minsk. Match of the Day. Both teams share weaknesses, strengths and current form statistics. I rely on Over 2.5 goals market and scores 2-2 & 3-3. In an ideal football world this should be a big, fat draw!

Best of Luck and always bet responsibly!


Previous games analysis and tips......


Slavia Mozyr - Zhodino. Why is so much lack of faith in Zhodino? I think is well overpriced the away win in this game and I will back it gladly. Scores 0-1 & 1-2 for inplay trading / cash out, stand a good chance. (Lost - final score 0-0)

Neman - Rukh Brest. Bet of the day for single betting in play! Long story short I expect the Draw to remain enough to give us a chance to cash out good profit and this is my main bet.
Against the odds and NOT recommended for the faint hearted people, I back the scores 2-2 and 3-3 for in play cash out trading. Now you might ask me, ''why not to back the Over 2.5 and 3.5 goals then''? The answer is simple. I expect a breakthrough of goals from these teams today however, my chances are low. In this case, I prefer to ''lose'' on high value bets rather than consider the Over 2.5 goals a ''sure'' bet. Even ''fun'' bet worth it, the prices are matched from 26.00 up to 260.00 on Betfair Exchange so far! (Lost - final score 2-4, although I was right about the goals)

Slutsk - Energetik-BGU. The H2H history is against the hosts but not the current form. The visitors are struggling to score in away games this season so far and this might be the case today again. I back Slutsk to win with scores 1-0 or 2-1 for inplay cash shout trading. (Lost - final score 1-2)

Gorodeja - FC Minsk. The bookmakers are favouring the Minsk's team today and I agree however, I would not rule out the draw. I expect 2-3 goals in this game and scores 1-1 & 1-2 for in play cash out / trading. (Won)
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    Mr Sherlock Goal

    Football games analysis and value tips mainly for exchange betting, cash out and trading. La Liga, English Premier League, US MLS and Scandinavian Leagues. 

    Mr Sherlock Goal
    Mr Sherlock Goal - ’’I don't like gambling but I do like to investing in betting''.




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