Mr Sherlock Goal

English Premier League Preview & Analysis

31/1/2017

Good evening folks. Midweek football is on and some exciting games are coming up.
Seven games will kick off today, and the fixture will resume tomorrow with the rest three games. Here are the current statistics of the English Premier League so far.

Source: 7mSports

Daily Goals - Daily Goals 31 January Premier League

I will proceed with 'caution' here, although we predict a Low 14 goals with a High of 21
goals. Suggested Margin is 18 goals or more and the price is not bad at all (1.60) in
Betfair's Exchange. L

Games Analysis and Tips

Arsenal v Watford. Not many things to say about this game, the hosts should win it with
Over 2.5 goals when taking into account the poor form and long list of unavailable
Watford's players in today's game. L

Bournemouth v C Palace. Crucial game for the visitors who need to start winning
points if they don't want to farewell the Premier League. Is a tough game to bet because I
am not sure how C Palace defence will response today. 2-3 goals is my estimate and I
would not rule out the scores 2-1 and 1-1. 1/2 W

Burnley v Leicester. The Champions may write history again this year if they commit
suicide and get relegated. This game could go either way and is open for any result.
However, I will be surprised if we see many goals. Under 2.5 goals pays out generously at
1.75 at the moment on Betfair's Exchange. W

Middlesbrough v West Brom. In an ideal world, WBA could win this easily or not. No major
problems for both teams and the H2H history is not very helpful at all. Do you have to bet in
this game?

Sunderland v Tottenham. Spurs are doing once again brilliantly this season and once again
the 'Black Cats' are facing relegation. The hosts do not have a full squad in today's game
and Spurs have troubles in the defencing line. The H2H history leans to Spurs as they have not lost an away game in Sunderland since 2011. Unfortunately there is no good value in Over 2.5 goals or either in away win. My suggestion is Over 3.5 goals and I would rule out the possibility for 2-3 or 3-2 scores and a shock for the betting world! L

Swansea v Southampton. If I could pick one draw in today's fixture, it could be this game. These teams have something in common. They beat Liverpool recently (fact and joke).
I don't think the Saints can win this game considering the number of important but injured
players missing from today's game. Swansea shocked us last week by netting 3 goals in
Liverpool and surely that win has lift players' morale. Draw all the way. L

Match Of the Day: Liverpool v Chelsea
From a statistical point of view it is always interesting when the best defence in League
(Chelsea) will be tested against the most clinical attacking team Liverpool.
Furthermore, the hosts are in a really bad form lately after losing 5 games in a row included
League and Cups. After that shocking defeat against Swansea last week, more than ever
now they need to look after their defence.
The draw factor is high in this game although I don't agree with the bookies giving a big
advantage to Liverpool. I believe we will watch a low scoring game and the Under 2.5 goals
offers great value. Let the best team win. W

You can bet your accumulators with the ''insurance'' of Betfair's Edge and the powered
prices of Betting Exchange!

Best of Luck!

Mr Sherlock Goal

Comments

Happy New Football Year!

2/1/2017

Comments

Hello all. On behalf of the 4LiveSports team we
would like to wish you a Happy 2017 with lots of
happiness, health, love and of course plenty of
winning bets.
Unfortunately we failed to continue our successful
winning row this Christmas, although I knew it would
be tough ''thanks'' to the unpredictabillity of English

Premier League. Don't get me wrong, the ''favourites'' are decent and Match Odds betting is quite reliable, but in terms of Value Betting and Over Under goals, this is where it
becomes complicated and difficult to predict scores.

Middlesbrough v Leicester What a game is coming up! The hosts are doing just fine so far and keeping the distance from the relegation zone. A few days ago, they gave a good
''scare'' to Mourinho's team which snapped a 2-1 victory in the end after seeing
Middlesbrough taking the lead. If the hosts were more effective and score more frequently,
they would be in a much higher place one the lederboard. Defensively, they do really good
considering their current position.
The Foxes in the other hand, managed a narrow and furstrating win against West Ham and surprinsignly for me, they did not concede a goal. Could that mean the beginning of
something good? The hosts are a 'tough nut' to crack at home and Foxes have not been
''inspiring'' in away games. Personally, I find it the most difficult game to predict in terms of
match odds and in terms of Under/Over, the bookies predict really few goals. I will not
include it in any of my betting slips today except a single bet in Any Other Draw Market @
Betfair.com where the Odds are nearly 999/1! I find not good value in Under 2.5 Goals but neither I want to risk it in Over 2.5. If it makes sense to you, I want to ''invest'' a small
amount in high odds and if in the likely event it start rainning goals in the first half, then
might cashout something good!

Everton v Southampton For many is considered 'the draw of the day'' although I do not
share the sentiment. Everton failed in a way to impress in last game against a fighting Hull
and a draw was not a bad result in the end. The Saints are by far in worse current form
and despite the unavailable players in today's game, they have not won a single away
game against Everton since 2003 (5 Losses and 2 draws). My money are on Everton and
the 2.32 price in Betfair is just awesome.

Man City v Burnley Ok, we all know which team is the favourite here but.... Where is the
value? Match Odds? Nope! Over/Under? Nay! Match Odds and Over 2.5? Negative!
Burnley is in a good form and they will not go down without a fight. Besides, they have
scored in all away games against Man City so far and managed to upset them a few times
as well. Both teams to score is my tip and the price 2.32 at Betfair is just delicious.

Sunderland v Liverpool The Black Cats' long term injured players in defence and Middle
field, cost them a lot of defeats this year and it is a fact. Today against Liverpool, more
than ever they have to defend in hope to avoid ''humiliation'' or.... to upset the punters world
with an unexpected result. Against the Odds, Under 2.5 goals is my tip.

West Brom v Hull The price for the hosts to win has drift so much in Exchange from 1.80
to 1.97 at the moment (09:47am UK time) and I am not sure why. WBA is a decent side
and the recent games at home show us that they show 'no mercy' to Hull teams ''alike''.
Nevertheless, Hull finds the way to the net and taking everything into acount, I suggest
Both teams to score.

West ham v ManU Both teams' lines up for today's game remain a big puzzle. Although I
initially wanted to back ManU to win Halftime/Fulltime, I will make my mind up just
before the kick off and I will tweet it.

You can bet your accumulators with the ''insurance'' of Betfair's Edge and the powered
prices of Betting Exchange!

Best of Luck!

Mr Sherlock Goal

Comments

English Premier League Preview & Analysis

Happy New Football Year!

Mr Sherlock Goal

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